Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bohemians v Dundalk

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bohemians (Local)

Prediction 60.36%1.66fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -6.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.43%60.31%60.28%61.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.521.511.5969.44%65.82%66.23%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dundalk (Visit)

Prediction 16.58%6.03fair odd
EV +2.78%
Edge +0.448%
Kelly +0.534%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 6.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.12%16.55%16.66%17.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.505.506.2020.41%18.17%18.18%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.06%4.34fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -0.746%
Kelly -0.979%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.22%23.15%23.06%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.943.954.2029.41%25.41%25.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bohemians (Local): 60.36%; Dundalk (Visit): 16.58%; Draw: 23.06%. For Dundalk (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.03. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.44%EV -5.84%E -3.74%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.46%EV +2.78%E +0.448%K +0.534%G +0.015%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.10%EV -4.29%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 19:55
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -6.44%E -4.16%K -11.71%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.12%EV +2.61%E +0.422%K +0.503%G +0.013%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.50%EV -11.90%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 19:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.66%EV -1.37%E -0.230%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -8.21%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 19:55
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.26%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.89%EV -2.20%E -0.372%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 19:50
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.13%E -0.746%K -0.979%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.08%EV -4.03%E -2.53%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.08%EV -4.03%E -2.53%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:55
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.59%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 19:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.39%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -5.51%E -0.967%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 19:55
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -8.25%E -5.43%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:20
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:19
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:20
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:19
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:20
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:20
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -4.03%E -2.53%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 19:19
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -6.44%E -4.16%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -6.59%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 19:25
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -6.44%E -4.16%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -6.59%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 19:25
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 19:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.03%EV -5.84%E -3.74%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 16:54
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -6.44%E -4.16%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 16:55
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.44%E -4.16%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 19:20
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.44%E -4.16%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.52%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -8.90%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 19:19
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -8.25%E -5.43%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-20 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -10.06%E -6.75%K -20.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-20 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -10.06%E -6.75%K -20.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-20 19:20
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-20 19:35
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -10.48%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:55
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -10.48%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:55
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -10.48%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-20 19:55
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-20 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-20 19:55
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-20 19:55
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-20 19:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.25%E -5.43%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -15.46%E -3.03%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 19:25
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.70%EV -11.27%E -7.67%K -23.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -15.46%E -3.03%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-20 19:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 59.58%EV -11.87%E -8.13%K -25.82%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 17.22%EV -16.29%E -3.22%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.20%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-20 19:54
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.99%EV -13.08%E -9.08%K -29.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -17.12%E -3.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-20 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 58.43%EV -13.08%E -9.08%K -29.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.83%EV -17.12%E -3.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.75%EV -21.58%E -6.35%K -8.99%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-20 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.47%EV -10.67%E -7.21%K -22.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -18.77%E -3.83%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-20 19:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.58%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.1%2026-03-20 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-03-20 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-03-20 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.27%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%1.6%2026-03-20 19:55