L’École des cotes

Bohemians v Dundalk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bohemians (Local)

Prévision 60.36%1.66cote équitable
EV -4.03%
Avantage -2.53%
Kelly -6.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.43%60.31%60.28%61.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.521.511.5969.44%65.82%66.23%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dundalk (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.58%6.03cote équitable
EV +2.78%
Avantage +0.448%
Kelly +0.534%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 6.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.12%16.55%16.66%17.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.905.505.506.2020.41%18.17%18.18%16.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.06%4.34cote équitable
EV -3.13%
Avantage -0.746%
Kelly -0.979%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.22%23.15%23.06%24.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.943.954.2029.41%25.41%25.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.44%EV -5.84%E -3.74%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.46%EV +2.78%E +0.448%K +0.534%G +0.015%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.10%EV -4.29%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 19:55
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -6.44%E -4.16%K -11.71%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.12%EV +2.61%E +0.422%K +0.503%G +0.013%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.50%EV -11.90%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 19:55
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.66%EV -1.37%E -0.230%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -8.21%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 19:55
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.26%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.89%EV -2.20%E -0.372%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 19:50
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.13%E -0.746%K -0.979%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 17:00
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.08%EV -4.03%E -2.53%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:55
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.08%EV -4.03%E -2.53%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:55
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.59%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 19:55
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.39%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -5.51%E -0.967%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 19:55
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -8.25%E -5.43%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 19:20
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:20
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:20
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:19
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:19
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:20
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:19
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:19
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:19
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:20
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:20
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -4.03%E -2.53%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 19:19
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -6.44%E -4.16%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -6.59%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 19:25
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -6.44%E -4.16%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -6.59%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 19:25
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 19:55
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.03%EV -5.84%E -3.74%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 16:54
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -6.44%E -4.16%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 16:55
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.44%E -4.16%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 19:20
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.44%E -4.16%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.52%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -8.90%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 19:19
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -8.25%E -5.43%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-20 19:55
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -10.06%E -6.75%K -20.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-20 19:20
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -10.06%E -6.75%K -20.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-20 19:20
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-20 19:35
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -10.48%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:55
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -10.48%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:55
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -10.48%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-20 19:55
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-20 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-20 19:55
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-20 19:55
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-20 19:45
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.25%E -5.43%K -15.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -15.46%E -3.03%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 19:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.70%EV -11.27%E -7.67%K -23.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -15.46%E -3.03%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-20 19:35
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.58%EV -11.87%E -8.13%K -25.82%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 17.22%EV -16.29%E -3.22%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.20%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-20 19:54
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 59.99%EV -13.08%E -9.08%K -29.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -17.12%E -3.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-20 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.43%EV -13.08%E -9.08%K -29.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.83%EV -17.12%E -3.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.75%EV -21.58%E -6.35%K -8.99%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-20 19:30
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.47%EV -10.67%E -7.21%K -22.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -18.77%E -3.83%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-20 19:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.58%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.1%2026-03-20 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-03-20 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-03-20 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.27%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%1.6%2026-03-20 19:55