La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Bohemians v Dundalk
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bohemians (Local)
Predicción 60.36%1.66momio equitativo
EV -4.03%
Ventaja -2.53%
Kelly -6.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.43%60.31%60.28%61.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.521.511.5969.44%65.82%66.23%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Dundalk (Visitante)
Predicción 16.58%6.03momio equitativo
EV +2.78%
Ventaja +0.448%
Kelly +0.534%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.12%16.55%16.66%17.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.905.505.506.2020.41%18.17%18.18%16.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.06%4.34momio equitativo
EV -3.13%
Ventaja -0.746%
Kelly -0.979%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.22%23.15%23.06%24.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.943.954.2029.41%25.41%25.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.44%EV -5.84%E -3.74%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.46%EV +2.78%E +0.448%K +0.534%G +0.015% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.10%EV -4.29%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -6.44%E -4.16%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.12%EV +2.61%E +0.422%K +0.503%G +0.013% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.50%EV -11.90%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.66%EV -1.37%E -0.230%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -8.21%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.26%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.89%EV -2.20%E -0.372%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.13%E -0.746%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.08%EV -4.03%E -2.53%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.08%EV -4.03%E -2.53%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.59%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.39%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -5.51%E -0.967%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| Unibet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -8.25%E -5.43%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| Casumo | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-20 19:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-20 19:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-20 19:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-20 19:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-20 19:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| betPARX | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -4.03%E -2.53%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 19:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -6.44%E -4.16%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -6.59%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 19:25 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -6.44%E -4.16%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -6.59%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 19:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.03%EV -5.84%E -3.74%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 16:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -6.44%E -4.16%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.21%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.44%E -4.16%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| William Hill | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.44%E -4.16%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.52%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -8.90%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-20 19:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -8.25%E -5.43%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -10.06%E -6.75%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -10.06%E -6.75%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-20 19:35 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -10.48%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -10.48%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -10.48%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-20 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.25%E -5.43%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -15.46%E -3.03%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-20 19:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.70%EV -11.27%E -7.67%K -23.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -15.46%E -3.03%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-20 19:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 59.58%EV -11.87%E -8.13%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 17.22%EV -16.29%E -3.22%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.20%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-20 19:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.99%EV -13.08%E -9.08%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -17.12%E -3.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-20 19:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.43%EV -13.08%E -9.08%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.83%EV -17.12%E -3.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.75%EV -21.58%E -6.35%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.47%EV -10.67%E -7.21%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -18.77%E -3.83%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-20 19:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.58% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.27% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36% | 1.6% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |