Language:English
Bohemians v Drogheda United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bohemians (Local)
Prediction 62.32%1.60fair odd
EV -4.65%
Edge -3.04%
Kelly -8.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.76%62.12%62.47%63.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.481.491.5371.43%67.38%67.11%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Drogheda United (Visit)
Prediction 15.14%6.60fair odd
EV +2.20%
Edge +0.325%
Kelly +0.382%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 6.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.19%15.26%15.06%17.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.206.006.006.7519.23%16.68%16.67%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.54%4.44fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -0.663%
Kelly -0.863%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.25%22.63%22.47%24.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.983.904.3128.57%25.13%25.64%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bohemians (Local): 62.32%; Drogheda United (Visit): 15.14%; Draw: 22.54%. For Drogheda United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.60. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.20%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.01%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.19%EV +2.20%E +0.325%K +0.382%G +0.008% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -1.59%E -0.245%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.09%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -1.59%E -0.245%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -1.59%E -0.245%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.96%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.84%EV -2.35%E -0.364%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20%EV -2.86%E -0.663%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.92%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 18:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.74%EV -3.86%E -0.608%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.44%EV -6.01%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -5.37%E -0.860%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -5.37%E -0.860%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -13.22%E -3.43%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.81%EV -9.01%E -6.17%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.44%EV -5.37%E -0.860%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.81%EV -9.01%E -6.17%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.44%EV -5.37%E -0.860%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.67%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV -6.13%E -0.989%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -6.89%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.86%EV -11.50%E -8.10%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.40%EV -7.65%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -16.61%E -4.49%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -9.16%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.16%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -9.16%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.68%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -9.16%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -9.16%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -15.48%E -4.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.63%E -6.64%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -9.16%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.16%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.75%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.91%EV -10.67%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.75%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.91%EV -10.67%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -12.94%E -2.25%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -12.94%E -2.25%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -12.94%E -2.25%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -12.94%E -2.25%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.20%EV -13.70%E -2.40%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -6.46%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.20%EV -13.70%E -2.40%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -6.46%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -16.73%E -3.04%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -16.73%E -3.04%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -3.08%E -0.717%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -16.73%E -3.04%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.62%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.68%EV -16.73%E -3.04%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.76%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -16.73%E -3.04%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -21.11%E -6.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.63%EV -12.13%E -8.60%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.09%EV -18.24%E -3.38%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -20.51%E -3.91%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -20.51%E -3.91%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-15 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -20.51%E -3.91%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -20.51%E -3.91%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.09%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -21.27%E -4.09%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.94% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.68% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38% | 1.6% | 2026-05-15 18:45 |