L’École des cotes

Bohemians v Drogheda United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-15 18:49 UTC

Score final : Bohemians 2–1 Drogheda United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bohemians (Local)

Prévision 62.32%1.60cote équitable
EV -4.65%
Avantage -3.04%
Kelly -8.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.76%62.12%62.47%63.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.481.491.5371.43%67.38%67.11%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Drogheda United (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.14%6.60cote équitable
EV +2.20%
Avantage +0.325%
Kelly +0.382%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 6.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.19%15.26%15.06%17.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.206.006.006.7519.23%16.68%16.67%14.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.54%4.44cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -0.663%
Kelly -0.863%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.25%22.63%22.47%24.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.983.904.3128.57%25.13%25.64%23.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.01%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.19%EV +2.20%E +0.325%K +0.382%G +0.008%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 18:44
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -1.59%E -0.245%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 18:45
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 62.09%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -1.59%E -0.245%K -0.289%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 18:45
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -1.59%E -0.245%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 18:45
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 62.96%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.84%EV -2.35%E -0.364%K -0.431%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20%EV -2.86%E -0.663%K -0.863%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 18:44
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:45
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:45
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:45
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:45
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:45
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:45
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:45
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:44
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:45
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 61.92%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 18:43
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.74%EV -3.86%E -0.608%K -0.722%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.44%EV -6.01%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 18:44
PointsBet (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -5.37%E -0.860%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -5.37%E -0.860%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -13.22%E -3.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 18:45
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.81%EV -9.01%E -6.17%K -19.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.44%EV -5.37%E -0.860%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-15 18:45
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.81%EV -9.01%E -6.17%K -19.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.44%EV -5.37%E -0.860%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-15 18:45
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.67%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV -6.13%E -0.989%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 18:45
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -6.89%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 18:44
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.86%EV -11.50%E -8.10%K -27.39%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.40%EV -7.65%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -16.61%E -4.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-15 18:45
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -9.16%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 18:45
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.16%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 18:45
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -9.16%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:45
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 61.68%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -9.16%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-15 18:44
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -9.16%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -15.48%E -4.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 18:44
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.63%E -6.64%K -21.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -9.16%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 18:44
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.16%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 18:45
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.75%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.91%EV -10.67%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:44
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.75%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.91%EV -10.67%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:45
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -12.94%E -2.25%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 18:44
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -12.94%E -2.25%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 18:44
BetAnything1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -12.94%E -2.25%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 18:44
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -12.94%E -2.25%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-15 18:45
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.20%EV -13.70%E -2.40%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -6.46%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 18:44
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.20%EV -13.70%E -2.40%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -6.46%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 18:44
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -16.73%E -3.04%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 18:45
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -16.73%E -3.04%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -3.08%E -0.717%K -0.934%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:45
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -16.73%E -3.04%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 18:45
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 61.62%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.68%EV -16.73%E -3.04%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-15 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.76%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -16.73%E -3.04%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -21.11%E -6.03%K -8.45%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-15 18:45
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 61.63%EV -12.13%E -8.60%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.09%EV -18.24%E -3.38%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-15 18:44
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -20.51%E -3.91%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -20.51%E -3.91%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -20.51%E -3.91%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 18:45
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -20.51%E -3.91%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 18:45
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.09%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -21.27%E -4.09%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-15 18:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-05-15 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-05-15 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-05-15 18:45
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 63.94%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.6%2026-05-15 18:45