La escuela de los momios

Bohemians v Drogheda United

Inicio: 2026-05-15 18:49 UTC

Final: Bohemians 2–1 Drogheda United

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bohemians (Local)

Predicción 62.32%1.60momio equitativo
EV -4.65%
Ventaja -3.04%
Kelly -8.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.76%62.12%62.47%63.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.481.491.5371.43%67.38%67.11%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Drogheda United (Visitante)

Predicción 15.14%6.60momio equitativo
EV +2.20%
Ventaja +0.325%
Kelly +0.382%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.19%15.26%15.06%17.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.206.006.006.7519.23%16.68%16.67%14.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.54%4.44momio equitativo
EV -2.86%
Ventaja -0.663%
Kelly -0.863%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.25%22.63%22.47%24.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.983.904.3128.57%25.13%25.64%23.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.01%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.19%EV +2.20%E +0.325%K +0.382%G +0.008%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 18:44
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -1.59%E -0.245%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 18:45
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 62.09%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -1.59%E -0.245%K -0.289%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 18:45
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -1.59%E -0.245%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 18:45
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 62.96%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.84%EV -2.35%E -0.364%K -0.431%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20%EV -2.86%E -0.663%K -0.863%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 18:44
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:45
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:45
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:45
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:45
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:45
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:45
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:45
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:44
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:45
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 61.92%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -3.10%E -0.485%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 18:43
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.74%EV -3.86%E -0.608%K -0.722%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.44%EV -6.01%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 18:44
PointsBet (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -5.37%E -0.860%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -5.37%E -0.860%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -13.22%E -3.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 18:45
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.81%EV -9.01%E -6.17%K -19.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.44%EV -5.37%E -0.860%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-15 18:45
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.81%EV -9.01%E -6.17%K -19.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.44%EV -5.37%E -0.860%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-15 18:45
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.67%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV -6.13%E -0.989%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 18:45
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -6.89%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 18:44
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.86%EV -11.50%E -8.10%K -27.39%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.40%EV -7.65%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -16.61%E -4.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-15 18:45
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -9.16%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 18:45
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.16%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 18:45
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -9.16%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:45
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 61.68%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -9.16%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-15 18:44
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -9.16%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -15.48%E -4.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 18:44
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.63%E -6.64%K -21.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -9.16%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 18:44
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.16%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 18:45
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.75%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.91%EV -10.67%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:44
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.75%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.91%EV -10.67%E -1.81%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:45
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -12.94%E -2.25%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 18:44
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -12.94%E -2.25%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 18:44
BetAnything1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -12.94%E -2.25%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 18:44
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -12.94%E -2.25%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-15 18:45
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.20%EV -13.70%E -2.40%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -6.46%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 18:44
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.20%EV -13.70%E -2.40%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -6.46%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 18:44
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -16.73%E -3.04%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 18:45
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -16.73%E -3.04%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -3.08%E -0.717%K -0.934%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:45
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -16.73%E -3.04%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 18:45
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 61.62%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.68%EV -16.73%E -3.04%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-15 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.76%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -16.73%E -3.04%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -21.11%E -6.03%K -8.45%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-15 18:45
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 61.63%EV -12.13%E -8.60%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.09%EV -18.24%E -3.38%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-15 18:44
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -20.51%E -3.91%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -20.51%E -3.91%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -20.51%E -3.91%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 18:45
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -20.51%E -3.91%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 18:45
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.09%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -21.27%E -4.09%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-15 18:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-05-15 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-05-15 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-05-15 18:45
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 63.94%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.6%2026-05-15 18:45