Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.38
assuming max odds 3.55
assuming max odds 3.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local): 42.21%; Pohang Steelers (Visit): 28.34%; Draw: 29.45%. For Pohang Steelers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.619%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV +0.456%E +0.192%K +0.330%G +0.002% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -17.80%E -6.14%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV +0.456%E +0.192%K +0.330%G +0.002% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -17.80%E -6.14%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV +0.456%E +0.192%K +0.330%G +0.002% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -17.80%E -6.14%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV +0.456%E +0.192%K +0.330%G +0.002% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV +0.456%E +0.192%K +0.330%G +0.002% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -19.22%E -6.74%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.43%EV -2.08%E -0.895%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.22%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.47%EV -0.232%E -0.066%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.31%EV -6.06%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -2.82%E -0.855%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.88%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 38.14%EV -5.88%E -2.63%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.34%EV -25.46%E -9.68%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.53%EV -15.19%E -5.27%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.71%EV -6.30%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV +0.619%E +0.174%K +0.243%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.71%EV -6.30%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV +0.619%E +0.174%K +0.243%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -6.30%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -5.33%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.70%EV -6.72%E -3.04%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.59%EV -5.33%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.29%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.29%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.799%E -0.228%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.05%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.14%E -3.91%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 04:58 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.88%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -13.55%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.14%E -3.91%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.14%E -3.91%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.14%E -3.91%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.232%E -0.066%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -3.11%E -0.947%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 04:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.14%E -3.91%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.14%E -3.91%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -13.13%E -4.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -11.36%E -5.41%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -10.72%E -3.40%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.36%E -5.41%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.60%E -5.03%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -11.36%E -5.41%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -7.88%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -15.19%E -5.27%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.36%E -5.41%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -14.97%E -4.99%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -13.47%E -6.57%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -13.55%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 42.56%EV -14.32%E -7.05%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 28.15%EV -12.99%E -4.23%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.29%EV -13.13%E -4.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-02 04:57 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.20%EV -14.74%E -7.30%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -14.97%E -4.99%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.39%EV -14.60%E -5.03%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.45%EV -15.58%E -7.79%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -10.72%E -3.40%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.97%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-02 04:58 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.75% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.48% | 4.2% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.36% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 30.40% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 31.25% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |