L’École des cotes

Ulsan Hyundai FC v Pohang Steelers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 05:02 UTC

Score final : Ulsan Hyundai FC 0–1 Pohang Steelers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local)

Prévision 42.21%2.37cote équitable
EV +0.456%
Avantage +0.192%
Kelly +0.330%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.02%42.19%42.11%44.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.222.202.3850.00%45.05%45.45%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pohang Steelers (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.34%3.53cote équitable
EV +0.619%
Avantage +0.174%
Kelly +0.243%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.61%28.31%28.46%32.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.633.113.103.5538.02%32.13%32.26%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.45%3.40cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -0.855%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.49%29.50%29.44%31.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.073.053.3034.72%32.61%32.79%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV +0.456%E +0.192%K +0.330%G +0.002%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -17.80%E -6.14%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 05:00
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV +0.456%E +0.192%K +0.330%G +0.002%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -17.80%E -6.14%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 05:01
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV +0.456%E +0.192%K +0.330%G +0.002%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -17.80%E -6.14%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 05:01
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV +0.456%E +0.192%K +0.330%G +0.002%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 05:01
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV +0.456%E +0.192%K +0.330%G +0.002%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 05:01
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -19.22%E -6.74%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 05:00
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 05:00
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 04:59
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 04:59
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 05:01
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 04:59
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 38.43%EV -2.08%E -0.895%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 05:01
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 05:01
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.22%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.47%EV -0.232%E -0.066%K -0.092%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.31%EV -6.06%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 04:59
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -2.82%E -0.855%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 04:59
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.88%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 04:59
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 38.14%EV -5.88%E -2.63%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.34%EV -25.46%E -9.68%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.53%EV -15.19%E -5.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-02 05:01
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.71%EV -6.30%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV +0.619%E +0.174%K +0.243%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 04:59
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.71%EV -6.30%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV +0.619%E +0.174%K +0.243%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 05:00
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -6.30%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -5.33%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 04:59
PointsBet (AU)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.70%EV -6.72%E -3.04%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.59%EV -5.33%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 05:01
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.29%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 05:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.29%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 05:00
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.799%E -0.228%K -0.319%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 04:59
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 05:01
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 05:00
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 05:00
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.05%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 05:00
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.14%E -3.91%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 04:58
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.88%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 05:00
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -13.55%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 04:59
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 05:01
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.14%E -3.91%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 05:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.14%E -3.91%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 05:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.14%E -3.91%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 04:59
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.232%E -0.066%K -0.092%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -3.11%E -0.947%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 04:58
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 05:00
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 05:00
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.14%E -3.91%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 04:59
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.14%E -3.91%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -13.13%E -4.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 05:00
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -11.36%E -5.41%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -10.72%E -3.40%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 05:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.36%E -5.41%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.60%E -5.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 05:00
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -11.36%E -5.41%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -7.88%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -15.19%E -5.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-02 05:01
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.36%E -5.41%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -14.97%E -4.99%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 05:00
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -13.47%E -6.57%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -13.55%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-02 05:00
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 42.56%EV -14.32%E -7.05%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.15%EV -12.99%E -4.23%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.29%EV -13.13%E -4.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-02 04:57
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.20%EV -14.74%E -7.30%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -14.97%E -4.99%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.39%EV -14.60%E -5.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-02 05:00
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.45%EV -15.58%E -7.79%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -10.72%E -3.40%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.97%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 04:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-05-02 05:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-05-02 05:01
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 41.75%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%4.1%2026-05-02 05:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 42.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.48%4.2%2026-05-02 05:01
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%5.9%2026-05-02 05:01
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 38.36%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.40%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.25%11.9%2026-05-02 05:01