La escuela de los momios

Ulsan Hyundai FC v Pohang Steelers

Inicio: 2026-05-02 05:02 UTC

Final: Ulsan Hyundai FC 0–1 Pohang Steelers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local)

Predicción 42.21%2.37momio equitativo
EV +0.456%
Ventaja +0.192%
Kelly +0.330%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.02%42.19%42.11%44.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.222.202.3850.00%45.05%45.45%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pohang Steelers (Visitante)

Predicción 28.34%3.53momio equitativo
EV +0.619%
Ventaja +0.174%
Kelly +0.243%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.61%28.31%28.46%32.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.633.113.103.5538.02%32.13%32.26%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.45%3.40momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -0.855%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.49%29.50%29.44%31.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.073.053.3034.72%32.61%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV +0.456%E +0.192%K +0.330%G +0.002%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -17.80%E -6.14%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 05:00
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV +0.456%E +0.192%K +0.330%G +0.002%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -17.80%E -6.14%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 05:01
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV +0.456%E +0.192%K +0.330%G +0.002%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -17.80%E -6.14%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 05:01
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV +0.456%E +0.192%K +0.330%G +0.002%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 05:01
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV +0.456%E +0.192%K +0.330%G +0.002%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 05:01
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -19.22%E -6.74%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 05:00
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 05:00
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 04:59
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 04:59
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 05:01
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -0.810%E -0.345%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 04:59
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 38.43%EV -2.08%E -0.895%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 05:01
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -20.64%E -7.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 05:01
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.22%EV -3.34%E -1.46%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.47%EV -0.232%E -0.066%K -0.092%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.31%EV -6.06%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 04:59
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -2.82%E -0.855%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 04:59
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.88%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 04:59
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 38.14%EV -5.88%E -2.63%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.34%EV -25.46%E -9.68%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.53%EV -15.19%E -5.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-02 05:01
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.71%EV -6.30%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV +0.619%E +0.174%K +0.243%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 04:59
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.71%EV -6.30%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV +0.619%E +0.174%K +0.243%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 05:00
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -6.30%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -5.33%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 04:59
PointsBet (AU)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.70%EV -6.72%E -3.04%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.59%EV -5.33%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 05:01
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.29%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 05:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.29%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 05:00
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.799%E -0.228%K -0.319%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 04:59
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 05:01
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 05:00
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 05:00
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.05%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 05:00
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.14%E -3.91%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 04:58
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.88%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 05:00
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -13.55%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 04:59
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 05:01
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.14%E -3.91%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 05:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.14%E -3.91%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 05:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.14%E -3.91%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 04:59
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.232%E -0.066%K -0.092%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -3.11%E -0.947%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 04:58
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 05:00
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 05:00
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.14%E -3.91%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 04:59
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.14%E -3.91%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -13.13%E -4.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 05:00
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -11.36%E -5.41%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -10.72%E -3.40%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 05:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.36%E -5.41%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.60%E -5.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 05:00
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -11.36%E -5.41%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -7.88%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -15.19%E -5.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-02 05:01
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.36%E -5.41%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -14.97%E -4.99%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 05:00
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -13.47%E -6.57%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -13.55%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-02 05:00
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 42.56%EV -14.32%E -7.05%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.15%EV -12.99%E -4.23%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.29%EV -13.13%E -4.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-02 04:57
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.20%EV -14.74%E -7.30%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -14.97%E -4.99%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.39%EV -14.60%E -5.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-02 05:00
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.45%EV -15.58%E -7.79%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -10.72%E -3.40%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.97%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 04:58
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-05-02 05:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-05-02 05:01
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 41.75%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%4.1%2026-05-02 05:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 42.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.48%4.2%2026-05-02 05:01
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%5.9%2026-05-02 05:01
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 38.36%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.40%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.25%11.9%2026-05-02 05:01