Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sangju Sangmu FC v Ulsan Hyundai FC

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 07:30 UTC

Final: Sangju Sangmu FC 1–2 Ulsan Hyundai FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sangju Sangmu FC (Local)

Prediction 27.94%3.58fair odd
EV -0.522%
Edge -0.147%
Kelly -0.204%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.24%28.09%28.02%31.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.233.253.5634.72%30.95%30.77%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visit)

Prediction 45.20%2.21fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.675%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.01%45.04%44.97%47.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.032.042.1854.05%49.23%49.02%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.86%3.72fair odd
EV -0.350%
Edge -0.094%
Kelly -0.129%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.60%26.88%27.00%27.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.353.303.7131.75%29.84%30.30%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sangju Sangmu FC (Local): 27.94%; Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visit): 45.20%; Draw: 26.86%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.71, with an expected value of -0.350%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV -0.522%E -0.147%K -0.204%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.05%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.79%EV -3.04%E -0.841%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 07:14
DraftKings🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.802%E -0.226%K -0.314%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -7.35%E -3.58%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 07:25
1xBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.20%E -0.628%K -0.879%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.26%EV -9.15%E -4.55%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.60%EV -0.350%E -0.094%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 07:25
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -2.20%E -0.628%K -0.879%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -10.51%E -5.31%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 07:24
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.20%E -0.628%K -0.879%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.87%E -6.09%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-05 07:25
Bovada🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -10.96%E -5.56%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 07:22
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.30%E -0.918%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 07:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 07:20
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -8.70%E -4.31%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 07:14
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -10.96%E -5.56%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 07:20
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 07:25
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 07:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 07:20
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -13.67%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-05 07:24
LowVig.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 27.81%EV -5.83%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.63%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 07:19
BetOnline.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 27.81%EV -5.83%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.63%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 07:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -4.63%E -2.20%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -9.21%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 07:25
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 07:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.87%E -6.09%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-05 07:20
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.87%E -6.09%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-05 07:25
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.87%E -6.09%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-05 07:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.87%E -6.09%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-05 07:20
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -13.67%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-05 07:25
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.62%EV -4.18%E -1.97%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.30%E -0.918%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 07:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 07:19
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-05 07:19
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 07:25
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 07:19
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.98%E -3.80%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.96%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 07:19
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.38%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -7.35%E -3.58%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-05 07:19
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.38%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -4.18%E -1.97%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-05 07:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.38%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -4.18%E -1.97%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-05 07:19
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.09%EV -13.38%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.12%EV -12.77%E -6.62%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.79%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-05 07:19
NetBet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -13.38%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.17%EV -16.39%E -8.86%K -19.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.28%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-05 07:25
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:19
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:19
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:20
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:20
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:19
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:19
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:19
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:19
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:19
Betclic (FR)🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 28.52%EV -15.61%E -5.17%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.40%EV -12.32%E -6.35%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.08%EV -14.59%E -4.59%K -6.69%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-05 07:18
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.17%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-05 07:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -16.17%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 42.96%EV -7.80%E -3.82%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.82%EV -15.39%E -4.89%K -7.16%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-05 07:20
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -16.17%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-05 07:20
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.05%EV -19.52%E -6.78%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.01%EV -1.47%E -0.675%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-05 07:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-05-05 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.24%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56%1.8%2026-05-05 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.24%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56%1.8%2026-05-05 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.24%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56%1.8%2026-05-05 07:25
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-05-05 07:20
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.08%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-05-05 07:25