L’École des cotes

Sangju Sangmu FC v Ulsan Hyundai FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-05 07:30 UTC

Score final : Sangju Sangmu FC 1–2 Ulsan Hyundai FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sangju Sangmu FC (Local)

Prévision 27.94%3.58cote équitable
EV -0.522%
Avantage -0.147%
Kelly -0.204%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.24%28.09%28.02%31.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.233.253.5634.72%30.95%30.77%28.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.20%2.21cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -0.675%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.01%45.04%44.97%47.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.032.042.1854.05%49.23%49.02%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.86%3.72cote équitable
EV -0.350%
Avantage -0.094%
Kelly -0.129%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.60%26.88%27.00%27.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.353.303.7131.75%29.84%30.30%26.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV -0.522%E -0.147%K -0.204%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.05%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.79%EV -3.04%E -0.841%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 07:14
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.802%E -0.226%K -0.314%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -7.35%E -3.58%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 07:25
1xBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.20%E -0.628%K -0.879%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.26%EV -9.15%E -4.55%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.60%EV -0.350%E -0.094%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 07:25
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -2.20%E -0.628%K -0.879%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -10.51%E -5.31%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 07:24
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.20%E -0.628%K -0.879%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.87%E -6.09%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-05 07:25
Bovada3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -10.96%E -5.56%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 07:22
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.30%E -0.918%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 07:19
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 07:20
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -8.70%E -4.31%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 07:14
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -10.96%E -5.56%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 07:20
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 07:25
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 07:19
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 07:20
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -13.67%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-05 07:24
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 27.81%EV -5.83%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.63%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 07:19
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 27.81%EV -5.83%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.63%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 07:20
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -4.63%E -2.20%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -9.21%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 07:25
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 07:19
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.87%E -6.09%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-05 07:20
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.87%E -6.09%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-05 07:25
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.87%E -6.09%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-05 07:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.87%E -6.09%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-05 07:20
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -13.67%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-05 07:25
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.62%EV -4.18%E -1.97%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.30%E -0.918%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 07:05
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 07:19
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-05 07:19
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 07:25
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 07:19
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.98%E -3.80%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.96%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 07:19
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.38%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -7.35%E -3.58%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-05 07:19
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.38%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -4.18%E -1.97%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-05 07:19
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.38%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -4.18%E -1.97%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-05 07:19
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.09%EV -13.38%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.12%EV -12.77%E -6.62%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.79%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-05 07:19
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -13.38%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.17%EV -16.39%E -8.86%K -19.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.28%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-05 07:25
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:19
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:19
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:20
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:20
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:20
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:19
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:19
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:19
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:19
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:19
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 28.52%EV -15.61%E -5.17%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.40%EV -12.32%E -6.35%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.08%EV -14.59%E -4.59%K -6.69%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-05 07:18
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.17%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-05 07:20
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -16.17%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 42.96%EV -7.80%E -3.82%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.82%EV -15.39%E -4.89%K -7.16%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-05 07:20
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -16.17%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-05 07:20
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 31.05%EV -19.52%E -6.78%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.01%EV -1.47%E -0.675%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-05 07:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-05-05 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.24%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56%1.8%2026-05-05 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.24%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56%1.8%2026-05-05 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.24%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56%1.8%2026-05-05 07:25
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-05-05 07:20
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.08%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-05-05 07:25