La escuela de los momios

Sangju Sangmu FC v Ulsan Hyundai FC

Inicio: 2026-05-05 07:30 UTC

Final: Sangju Sangmu FC 1–2 Ulsan Hyundai FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sangju Sangmu FC (Local)

Predicción 27.94%3.58momio equitativo
EV -0.522%
Ventaja -0.147%
Kelly -0.204%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.24%28.09%28.02%31.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.233.253.5634.72%30.95%30.77%28.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visitante)

Predicción 45.20%2.21momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.675%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.01%45.04%44.97%47.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.032.042.1854.05%49.23%49.02%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.86%3.72momio equitativo
EV -0.350%
Ventaja -0.094%
Kelly -0.129%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.60%26.88%27.00%27.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.353.303.7131.75%29.84%30.30%26.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV -0.522%E -0.147%K -0.204%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.05%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.79%EV -3.04%E -0.841%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 07:14
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.802%E -0.226%K -0.314%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -7.35%E -3.58%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 07:25
1xBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.20%E -0.628%K -0.879%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.26%EV -9.15%E -4.55%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.60%EV -0.350%E -0.094%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 07:25
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -2.20%E -0.628%K -0.879%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -10.51%E -5.31%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 07:24
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.20%E -0.628%K -0.879%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.87%E -6.09%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-05 07:25
Bovada3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -10.96%E -5.56%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 07:22
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.30%E -0.918%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 07:19
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 07:20
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -8.70%E -4.31%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 07:14
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -10.96%E -5.56%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 07:20
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 07:25
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 07:19
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 07:20
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -13.67%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-05 07:24
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 27.81%EV -5.83%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.63%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 07:19
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 27.81%EV -5.83%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.63%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 07:20
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -4.63%E -2.20%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -9.21%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 07:25
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 07:19
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.87%E -6.09%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-05 07:20
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.87%E -6.09%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-05 07:25
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.87%E -6.09%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-05 07:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.87%E -6.09%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-05 07:20
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -13.67%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-05 07:25
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.62%EV -4.18%E -1.97%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.30%E -0.918%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 07:05
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.09%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 07:19
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-05 07:19
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 07:25
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 07:19
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.98%E -3.80%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.96%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 07:19
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.38%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -7.35%E -3.58%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-05 07:19
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.38%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -4.18%E -1.97%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-05 07:19
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.38%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -4.18%E -1.97%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-05 07:19
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.09%EV -13.38%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.12%EV -12.77%E -6.62%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.79%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-05 07:19
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -13.38%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.17%EV -16.39%E -8.86%K -19.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.28%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-05 07:25
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:19
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:19
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:20
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:20
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:20
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:19
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:19
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:19
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:19
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 07:19
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 28.52%EV -15.61%E -5.17%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.40%EV -12.32%E -6.35%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.08%EV -14.59%E -4.59%K -6.69%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-05 07:18
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.17%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-05 07:20
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -16.17%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 42.96%EV -7.80%E -3.82%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.82%EV -15.39%E -4.89%K -7.16%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-05 07:20
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -16.17%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -9.61%E -4.80%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-05 07:20
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 31.05%EV -19.52%E -6.78%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.01%EV -1.47%E -0.675%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-05 07:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-05-05 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.24%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56%1.8%2026-05-05 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.24%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56%1.8%2026-05-05 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.24%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56%1.8%2026-05-05 07:25
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-05-05 07:20
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.08%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-05-05 07:25