Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.38
assuming max odds 3.15
assuming max odds 3.47
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sangju Sangmu FC (Local): 40.02%; Jeju United FC (Visit): 31.77%; Draw: 28.21%. For Jeju United FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.148. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.150, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.068%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.068%E +0.022%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.53%EV -6.05%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.82%EV -5.15%E -2.17%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.31%EV -1.84%E -0.595%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.88%EV -2.10%E -0.605%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.14%EV -5.55%E -2.35%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.14%EV -5.55%E -2.35%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.75%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 09:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.51%EV -5.97%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -5.77%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.96%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 10:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.96%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 09:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.69%EV -9.16%E -4.03%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -8.76%E -3.84%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -10.76%E -4.82%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.51%EV -7.16%E -3.08%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.39%EV -7.24%E -2.48%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-05 09:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.51%EV -7.16%E -3.08%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.39%EV -7.24%E -2.48%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-05 09:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -2.66%E -0.772%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -5.96%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-05 09:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 09:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 10:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -8.51%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-05 09:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.74%EV -13.56%E -6.28%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.88%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-05 10:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-05 10:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.62%EV -7.16%E -3.08%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.38%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-29 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -13.96%E -6.49%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.05%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-07-05 10:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -12.64%E -4.60%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -12.64%E -4.60%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-05 09:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.99%EV -13.16%E -6.06%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -12.64%E -4.60%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.45%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -14.23%E -5.27%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.16% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 10:00 |