La escuela de los momios

Sangju Sangmu FC v Jeju United FC

Inicio: 2026-07-05 10:30 UTC

Final: Sangju Sangmu FC 1–1 Jeju United FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sangju Sangmu FC (Local)

Predicción 40.02%2.50momio equitativo
EV -4.75%
Ventaja -2.00%
Kelly -3.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.62%39.98%40.03%41.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.262.252.3846.51%44.20%44.44%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jeju United FC (Visitante)

Predicción 31.77%3.15momio equitativo
EV +0.068%
Ventaja +0.022%
Kelly +0.032%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.16%31.73%31.85%32.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.892.903.1537.04%34.59%34.48%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.21%3.54momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -0.605%
Kelly -0.850%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.10%28.28%28.11%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.223.203.4732.79%31.01%31.25%28.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.068%E +0.022%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.53%EV -6.05%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 10:25
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.82%EV -5.15%E -2.17%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.31%EV -1.84%E -0.595%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.88%EV -2.10%E -0.605%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 10:25
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.14%EV -5.55%E -2.35%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 10:20
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.14%EV -5.55%E -2.35%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 10:20
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.75%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 09:30
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 10:25
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.51%EV -5.97%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -5.77%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 10:20
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.96%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 10:00
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.96%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 09:30
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 40.69%EV -9.16%E -4.03%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 10:20
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -8.76%E -3.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 10:25
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -10.76%E -4.82%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 10:25
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.51%EV -7.16%E -3.08%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.39%EV -7.24%E -2.48%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 09:30
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.51%EV -7.16%E -3.08%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.39%EV -7.24%E -2.48%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 09:30
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -2.66%E -0.772%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 10:25
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 10:25
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -5.96%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 10:15
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 09:25
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 09:30
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 10:04
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 10:05
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 10:25
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 10:25
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 10:25
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 10:25
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 10:25
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 10:25
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 10:25
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 10:25
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 10:25
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 10:25
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -8.51%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 10:25
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-05 09:30
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 40.74%EV -13.56%E -6.28%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.88%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-05 10:25
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-05 10:25
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-05 10:05
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-05 10:24
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 38.62%EV -7.16%E -3.08%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.38%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-29 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-05 10:20
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-05 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-05 10:20
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-05 10:20
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -13.96%E -6.49%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.05%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-05 10:05
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -12.64%E -4.60%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-05 10:25
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -12.64%E -4.60%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-05 09:30
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.99%EV -13.16%E -6.06%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -12.64%E -4.60%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.45%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-05 10:15
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -14.23%E -5.27%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-05 10:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-07-05 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-07-05 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-07-05 10:25
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-07-05 10:25
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-07-05 10:20
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.16%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-07-05 10:00