L’École des cotes

Sangju Sangmu FC v Jeju United FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-05 10:30 UTC

Score final : Sangju Sangmu FC 1–1 Jeju United FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sangju Sangmu FC (Local)

Prévision 40.02%2.50cote équitable
EV -4.75%
Avantage -2.00%
Kelly -3.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.62%39.98%40.03%41.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.262.252.3846.51%44.20%44.44%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jeju United FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.77%3.15cote équitable
EV +0.068%
Avantage +0.022%
Kelly +0.032%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.16%31.73%31.85%32.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.892.903.1537.04%34.59%34.48%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.21%3.54cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -0.605%
Kelly -0.850%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.10%28.28%28.11%29.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.223.203.4732.79%31.01%31.25%28.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.068%E +0.022%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.53%EV -6.05%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 10:25
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.82%EV -5.15%E -2.17%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.31%EV -1.84%E -0.595%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.88%EV -2.10%E -0.605%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 10:25
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.14%EV -5.55%E -2.35%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 10:20
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.14%EV -5.55%E -2.35%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 10:20
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.75%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 09:30
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 10:25
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.51%EV -5.97%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -5.77%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 10:20
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.96%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 10:00
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.96%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 09:30
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 40.69%EV -9.16%E -4.03%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 10:20
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -8.76%E -3.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 10:25
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -10.76%E -4.82%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 10:25
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.51%EV -7.16%E -3.08%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.39%EV -7.24%E -2.48%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 09:30
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.51%EV -7.16%E -3.08%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.39%EV -7.24%E -2.48%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 09:30
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -2.66%E -0.772%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 10:25
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 10:25
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -5.96%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 10:15
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 09:25
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 09:30
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 10:04
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 10:05
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 10:25
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 10:25
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 10:25
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 10:25
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 10:25
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 10:25
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 10:25
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 10:25
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 10:25
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 10:25
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -8.51%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 10:25
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-05 09:30
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 40.74%EV -13.56%E -6.28%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.88%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-05 10:25
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-05 10:25
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-05 10:05
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-05 10:24
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 38.62%EV -7.16%E -3.08%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.38%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-29 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-05 10:20
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-05 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-05 10:20
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-05 10:20
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -13.96%E -6.49%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.05%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-05 10:05
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -12.64%E -4.60%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-05 10:25
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -12.64%E -4.60%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-05 09:30
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.99%EV -13.16%E -6.06%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -12.64%E -4.60%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.45%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-05 10:15
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -14.23%E -5.27%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-05 10:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-07-05 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-07-05 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-07-05 10:25
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-07-05 10:25
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-07-05 10:20
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.16%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-07-05 10:00