The School of Odds

Jeju United FC v Incheon United

2026-08-02 10:30 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Jeju United FC (Local)

Prediction 30.43%3.29fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.720%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.42%30.83%30.39%34.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.552.822.803.2139.22%35.52%35.71%31.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Incheon United (Visit)

Prediction 38.39%2.60fair odd
EV -0.184%
Edge -0.071%
Kelly -0.115%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.69%38.09%38.37%38.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.442.452.6045.45%41.03%40.82%38.46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 31.18%3.21fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.75%31.08%31.24%32.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.702.953.003.1037.04%33.87%33.33%32.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle3.21I 31.15%NM 29.68%EV -2.31%E -0.720%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.57%EV -5.17%E -2.09%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 11:55
1xBet3.11I 32.15%NM 30.14%EV -5.36%E -1.72%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.41%EV -6.33%E -2.59%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.45%EV -7.09%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 13:05
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.57%EV -7.09%E -2.93%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.32%EV -7.09%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 13:05
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 11:45
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 11:50
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 11:31
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.35%EV -8.96%E -3.07%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 10:51
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.35%EV -8.96%E -3.07%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 10:50
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 10:50
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.22%E -3.47%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -9.78%E -4.16%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 10:50
Betclic (FR)2.93I 34.13%NM 29.97%EV -10.83%E -3.70%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.68%EV -12.85%E -5.66%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 10:50
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -11.75%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 10:51
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -12.35%E -4.29%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -10.21%E -3.55%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-26 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.45%EV -13.27%E -4.66%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.56%EV -13.62%E -6.05%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.99%EV -12.71%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-26 10:55
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -14.79%E -5.28%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 10:50
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -14.79%E -5.28%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 10:56
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.59%EV -16.31%E -5.93%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.24%EV -15.54%E -7.06%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.16%EV -15.82%E -5.86%K -9.31%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-26 10:55
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -17.83%E -6.60%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -0.184%E -0.071%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -3.35%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -19.35%E -7.30%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -2.10%E -0.825%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 10:45
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -19.96%E -7.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 10:45
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -19.96%E -7.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 10:46
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -19.96%E -7.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 10:45
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -19.96%E -7.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 10:45
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -19.96%E -7.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 10:45
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -19.96%E -7.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 10:45
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -19.96%E -7.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 10:45
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -19.96%E -7.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 10:45
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -19.96%E -7.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 10:45
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -19.96%E -7.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 10:45
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -20.88%E -8.03%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 10:45
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -22.40%E -8.78%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 10:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 30.15%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.20%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.65%12.8%2026-07-26 10:56