Language:English
Jeju United FC v Incheon United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jeju United FC (Local)
Prediction 32.53%3.07fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.65%32.51%32.58%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.782.802.9638.46%36.00%35.71%33.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Incheon United (Visit)
Prediction 35.89%2.79fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.608%
Kelly -0.958%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.34%35.85%35.87%37.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.552.552.7441.67%39.15%39.22%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.58%3.17fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.675%
Kelly -0.997%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.33%31.64%31.55%33.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.912.903.1037.04%34.41%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jeju United FC (Local): 32.53%; Incheon United (Visit): 35.89%; Draw: 31.58%. For Incheon United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.74, with an expected value of -1.67%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.10%EV -3.71%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.68%EV -1.67%E -0.608%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.22%EV -9.67%E -3.38%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.10%EV -3.71%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.68%EV -1.67%E -0.608%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.22%EV -9.67%E -3.38%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.84%EV -4.04%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.49%EV -2.03%E -0.742%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.66%EV -3.36%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -2.09%E -0.675%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 09:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.10%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 08:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 10:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -4.90%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.25%EV -12.20%E -4.39%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 10:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 08:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.32%E -2.19%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.10%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -9.04%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.63%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.96%EV -4.18%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -9.04%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-02 10:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.69%EV -8.27%E -2.93%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.73%EV -7.41%E -2.87%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.57%EV -7.78%E -2.66%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.69%EV -8.27%E -2.93%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.73%EV -7.41%E -2.87%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.57%EV -7.78%E -2.66%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -4.90%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 09:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -9.04%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-02 08:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -9.04%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-02 08:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.65%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -9.36%E -3.26%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.65%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -9.36%E -3.26%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 08:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 10:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -13.87%E -5.78%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.04%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-02 08:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.05%EV -9.24%E -3.31%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.31%EV -3.46%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -2.09%E -0.675%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.30%EV -5.61%E -2.13%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 09:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.89%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -9.99%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.83%EV -11.52%E -4.24%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.83%EV -14.09%E -5.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 10:23 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -12.17%E -4.51%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-02 09:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.17%E -4.51%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.48%EV -13.15%E -4.92%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.40%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.12%EV -14.73%E -5.45%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 09:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 09:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 09:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 09:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 09:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 09:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 09:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 09:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 09:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 09:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -15.42%E -5.93%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.23%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.90%EV -9.99%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-02 09:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85% | 1.3% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.0% | 2026-08-02 10:20 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.