Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jeju United FC v Incheon United

Início: 2026-08-02 10:30 UTC

Final: Jeju United FC 3–3 Incheon United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jeju United FC (Local)

Previsão 32.53%3.07odd justa
EV -3.71%
Vantagem -1.25%
Kelly -1.90%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.65%32.51%32.58%34.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.782.802.9638.46%36.00%35.71%33.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Incheon United (Visitante)

Previsão 35.89%2.79odd justa
EV -1.67%
Vantagem -0.608%
Kelly -0.958%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.34%35.85%35.87%37.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.552.552.7441.67%39.15%39.22%36.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 31.58%3.17odd justa
EV -2.09%
Vantagem -0.675%
Kelly -0.997%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.33%31.64%31.55%33.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.912.903.1037.04%34.41%34.48%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jeju United FC (Local): 32.53%; Incheon United (Visitante): 35.89%; Empate: 31.58%. Para Incheon United (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.79. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.74, com valor esperado de -1.67%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.10%EV -3.71%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.68%EV -1.67%E -0.608%K -0.958%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.22%EV -9.67%E -3.38%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 10:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.10%EV -3.71%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.68%EV -1.67%E -0.608%K -0.958%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.22%EV -9.67%E -3.38%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 10:25
Pinnacle🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.84%EV -4.04%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.49%EV -2.03%E -0.742%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.66%EV -3.36%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 10:15
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -2.09%E -0.675%K -0.997%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 09:39
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.10%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 10:25
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 10:15
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 08:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 10:19
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -4.90%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.25%EV -12.20%E -4.39%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 10:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 08:40
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.32%E -2.19%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.10%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -9.04%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 10:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.63%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.96%EV -4.18%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -9.04%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 10:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 10:24
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 10:00
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.69%EV -8.27%E -2.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.73%EV -7.41%E -2.87%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.57%EV -7.78%E -2.66%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 10:25
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.69%EV -8.27%E -2.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.73%EV -7.41%E -2.87%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.57%EV -7.78%E -2.66%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 10:25
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -4.90%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 10:25
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 09:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 10:25
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 10:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -9.04%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 08:44
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -9.04%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 08:44
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.65%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -9.36%E -3.26%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 08:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.65%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -9.36%E -3.26%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 08:44
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 10:14
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -13.87%E -5.78%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.04%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 08:44
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.05%EV -9.24%E -3.31%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.31%EV -3.46%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -2.09%E -0.675%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 10:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.30%EV -5.61%E -2.13%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 09:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 10:24
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 10:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.89%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -9.99%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 10:24
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 10:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 32.83%EV -11.52%E -4.24%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.83%EV -14.09%E -5.18%K -8.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 10:23
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -12.17%E -4.51%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 09:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.17%E -4.51%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 10:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 32.48%EV -13.15%E -4.92%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.40%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.12%EV -14.73%E -5.45%K -8.66%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-02 10:24
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 09:49
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 09:49
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 09:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 09:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 09:49
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 09:50
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 09:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 09:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 09:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 09:49
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 09:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -15.42%E -5.93%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.23%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.90%EV -9.99%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-02 09:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-08-02 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-08-02 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-08-02 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-08-02 10:25
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%1.3%2026-08-02 10:25
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.0%2026-08-02 10:20