Idioma:Español
Jeju United FC v Incheon United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jeju United FC (Local)
Predicción 32.53%3.07momio equitativo
EV -3.71%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -1.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.65%32.51%32.58%34.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.782.802.9638.46%36.00%35.71%33.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Incheon United (Visitante)
Predicción 35.89%2.79momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -0.608%
Kelly -0.958%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.34%35.85%35.87%37.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.552.552.7441.67%39.15%39.22%36.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.58%3.17momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.675%
Kelly -0.997%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.33%31.64%31.55%33.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.912.903.1037.04%34.41%34.48%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jeju United FC (Local): 32.53%; Incheon United (Visitante): 35.89%; Empate: 31.58%. Para Incheon United (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.79. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.74, con un valor esperado de -1.67%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.10%EV -3.71%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.68%EV -1.67%E -0.608%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.22%EV -9.67%E -3.38%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.10%EV -3.71%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.68%EV -1.67%E -0.608%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.22%EV -9.67%E -3.38%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.84%EV -4.04%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.49%EV -2.03%E -0.742%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.66%EV -3.36%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -2.09%E -0.675%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 09:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.10%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 08:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 10:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -4.90%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.25%EV -12.20%E -4.39%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 10:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.67%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 08:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.32%E -2.19%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.10%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -9.04%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.63%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.96%EV -4.18%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -9.04%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-02 10:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.69%EV -8.27%E -2.93%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.73%EV -7.41%E -2.87%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.57%EV -7.78%E -2.66%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.69%EV -8.27%E -2.93%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.73%EV -7.41%E -2.87%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.57%EV -7.78%E -2.66%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -4.90%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 09:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -9.04%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-02 08:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -9.04%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-02 08:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.65%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -9.36%E -3.26%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.65%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -9.36%E -3.26%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 08:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 10:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -13.87%E -5.78%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.04%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-02 08:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.05%EV -9.24%E -3.31%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.31%EV -3.46%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -2.09%E -0.675%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.30%EV -5.61%E -2.13%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 09:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.25%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.89%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -9.99%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.55%E -3.83%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-02 10:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.83%EV -11.52%E -4.24%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.83%EV -14.09%E -5.18%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 10:23 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -12.17%E -4.51%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-02 09:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.17%E -4.51%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.48%EV -13.15%E -4.92%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.40%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.12%EV -14.73%E -5.45%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 09:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 09:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 09:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 09:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 09:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 09:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 09:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 09:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 09:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.80%E -5.21%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.49%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 09:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -15.42%E -5.93%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.23%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.90%EV -9.99%E -3.50%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-02 09:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85% | 1.3% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.0% | 2026-08-02 10:20 |