Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.55
assuming max odds 2.02
assuming max odds 3.27
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jeju United FC (Local): 22.17%; Gangwon FC (Visit): 48.13%; Draw: 29.70%. For Jeju United FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.51. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.867%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV +0.867%E +0.191%K +0.244%G +0.002% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.28%EV -7.10%E -3.68%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.82%EV -5.27%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Pinnacle | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.45%EV +0.424%E +0.094%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.83%EV -4.21%E -2.12%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.72%EV -2.89%E -0.884%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.68%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.87%EV -4.69%E -2.37%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.68%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.87%EV -4.69%E -2.37%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Coolbet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -4.68%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.96%EV -7.10%E -3.68%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -3.48%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-21 09:45 |
| SportsBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -4.68%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.35%EV -8.55%E -4.50%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.48%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-21 09:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -4.68%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -9.99%E -5.34%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -5.78%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 09:45 |
| Betsson | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.49%EV -5.78%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.57%EV -9.51%E -5.06%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-21 09:45 |
| DraftKings | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -7.34%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| BetMGM | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-21 09:44 |
| betfred_uk | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -8.55%E -4.50%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-21 09:45 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -10.95%E -5.92%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-21 09:44 |
| Bovada | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -8.00%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -6.62%E -3.41%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-21 10:24 |
| NordicBet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.11%EV -8.00%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -7.58%E -3.95%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| PlayUp | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.77%EV -7.10%E -3.68%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Fanatics | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-21 09:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -9.51%E -5.06%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-21 09:45 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.33%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.33%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.33%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.33%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.91%E -6.51%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-21 09:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -11.33%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.92%EV -13.84%E -7.73%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.19%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-21 10:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.98%EV -8.55%E -4.50%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| LeoVegas | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.75%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.79%EV -9.51%E -5.06%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.99%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.26%EV -13.36%E -7.42%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.75%EV -13.28%E -4.55%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-21 09:45 |
| Neds | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-21 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-21 09:45 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-21 09:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.92%EV -8.55%E -4.50%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -12.39%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| BoyleSports | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -15.76%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-21 09:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -15.76%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -11.43%E -6.21%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -20.19%E -5.61%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -2.77%E -1.37%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -3.48%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -21.30%E -6.00%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -5.18%E -2.63%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Unibet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -5.66%E -2.89%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -5.66%E -2.89%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -5.66%E -2.89%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Casumo | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| TABtouch | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Grosvenor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| betPARX | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-21 10:24 |
| BetRivers | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.08%EV -6.62%E -3.41%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-21 10:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.58%EV -23.52%E -6.82%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.96%EV -7.58%E -3.95%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72% | 1.0% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Matchbook | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Smarkets | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.27% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 1.5% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |