La escuela de los momios

Jeju United FC v Gangwon FC

Inicio: 2026-07-21 10:30 UTC

Final: Jeju United FC 1–1 Gangwon FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jeju United FC (Local)

Predicción 22.17%4.51momio equitativo
EV +0.867%
Ventaja +0.191%
Kelly +0.244%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.90%22.40%22.16%25.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.944.004.5528.99%25.40%25.00%21.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Gangwon FC (Visitante)

Predicción 48.13%2.08momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -1.37%
Kelly -2.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.82%47.98%48.06%49.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.791.921.932.0255.87%52.00%51.81%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.70%3.37momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -0.884%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.36%29.62%29.78%30.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.103.103.2734.48%32.24%32.26%30.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV +0.867%E +0.191%K +0.244%G +0.002%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.28%EV -7.10%E -3.68%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.82%EV -5.27%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 10:25
Pinnacle4.53I 22.08%NM 21.45%EV +0.424%E +0.094%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.83%EV -4.21%E -2.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.72%EV -2.89%E -0.884%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-21 10:25
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.68%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.87%EV -4.69%E -2.37%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 10:25
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.68%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.87%EV -4.69%E -2.37%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 10:25
Coolbet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -4.68%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.96%EV -7.10%E -3.68%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -3.48%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 09:45
SportsBet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -4.68%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.35%EV -8.55%E -4.50%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.48%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 09:45
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -4.68%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -9.99%E -5.34%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 10:25
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -5.78%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 09:45
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.49%EV -5.78%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.57%EV -9.51%E -5.06%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 09:45
DraftKings4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 10:25
Marathon Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -7.34%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 10:25
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 10:25
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 09:44
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -8.55%E -4.50%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 09:45
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -10.95%E -5.92%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 09:44
Bovada4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -8.00%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -6.62%E -3.41%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 10:24
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.11%EV -8.00%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -7.58%E -3.95%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 10:25
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.77%EV -7.10%E -3.68%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 10:25
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 09:45
Betr (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -9.51%E -5.06%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-21 09:45
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.33%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 10:25
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.33%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-21 10:25
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.33%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-21 10:25
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.33%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.91%E -6.51%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-21 09:45
Betclic (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -11.33%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.92%EV -13.84%E -7.73%K -17.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.19%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-21 10:24
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.98%EV -8.55%E -4.50%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 10:25
LeoVegas3.95I 25.32%NM 22.75%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.79%EV -9.51%E -5.06%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 10:25
NetBet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 21.99%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.26%EV -13.36%E -7.42%K -16.70%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.75%EV -13.28%E -4.55%K -6.92%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-21 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 09:45
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 09:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 09:45
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 09:45
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.92%EV -8.55%E -4.50%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -12.39%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-21 10:25
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -15.76%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-21 09:45
Winamax (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -15.76%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -11.43%E -6.21%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-21 10:25
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -20.19%E -5.61%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -2.77%E -1.37%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -3.48%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -21.30%E -6.00%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -5.18%E -2.63%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 10:25
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -5.66%E -2.89%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 10:25
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -5.66%E -2.89%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 10:25
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -5.66%E -2.89%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 10:25
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-21 10:25
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-21 10:25
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-21 10:25
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-21 10:25
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-21 10:25
ATG (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-21 10:25
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-21 10:24
BetRivers3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.08%EV -6.62%E -3.41%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-21 10:14
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.58%EV -23.52%E -6.82%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.96%EV -7.58%E -3.95%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-21 10:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-07-21 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-07-21 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-07-21 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-07-21 10:25
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-07-21 10:25
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%1.5%2026-07-21 10:25