L’École des cotes

Jeju United FC v Gangwon FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-21 10:30 UTC

Score final : Jeju United FC 1–1 Gangwon FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jeju United FC (Local)

Prévision 22.17%4.51cote équitable
EV +0.867%
Avantage +0.191%
Kelly +0.244%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.90%22.40%22.16%25.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.944.004.5528.99%25.40%25.00%21.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gangwon FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.13%2.08cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -1.37%
Kelly -2.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.82%47.98%48.06%49.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.791.921.932.0255.87%52.00%51.81%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.70%3.37cote équitable
EV -2.89%
Avantage -0.884%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.36%29.62%29.78%30.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.103.103.2734.48%32.24%32.26%30.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV +0.867%E +0.191%K +0.244%G +0.002%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.28%EV -7.10%E -3.68%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.82%EV -5.27%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 10:25
Pinnacle4.53I 22.08%NM 21.45%EV +0.424%E +0.094%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.83%EV -4.21%E -2.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.72%EV -2.89%E -0.884%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-21 10:25
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.68%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.87%EV -4.69%E -2.37%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 10:25
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.68%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.87%EV -4.69%E -2.37%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 10:25
Coolbet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -4.68%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.96%EV -7.10%E -3.68%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -3.48%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 09:45
SportsBet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -4.68%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.35%EV -8.55%E -4.50%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.48%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 09:45
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -4.68%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -9.99%E -5.34%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 10:25
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -5.78%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 09:45
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.49%EV -5.78%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.57%EV -9.51%E -5.06%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 09:45
DraftKings4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 10:25
Marathon Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -7.34%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 10:25
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 10:25
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 09:44
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -8.55%E -4.50%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 09:45
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -10.95%E -5.92%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 09:44
Bovada4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -8.00%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -6.62%E -3.41%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 10:24
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.11%EV -8.00%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -7.58%E -3.95%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 10:25
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.77%EV -7.10%E -3.68%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 10:25
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 09:45
Betr (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -9.51%E -5.06%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-21 09:45
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.33%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 10:25
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.33%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-21 10:25
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.33%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-21 10:25
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.33%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.91%E -6.51%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-21 09:45
Betclic (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -11.33%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.92%EV -13.84%E -7.73%K -17.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.19%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-21 10:24
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.98%EV -8.55%E -4.50%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 10:25
LeoVegas3.95I 25.32%NM 22.75%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.79%EV -9.51%E -5.06%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 10:25
NetBet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 21.99%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.26%EV -13.36%E -7.42%K -16.70%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.75%EV -13.28%E -4.55%K -6.92%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-21 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 09:45
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 09:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 09:45
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 09:45
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.92%EV -8.55%E -4.50%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -12.39%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-21 10:25
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -15.76%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-21 09:45
Winamax (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -15.76%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -11.43%E -6.21%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-21 10:25
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -20.19%E -5.61%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -2.77%E -1.37%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -3.48%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -21.30%E -6.00%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -5.18%E -2.63%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 10:25
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -5.66%E -2.89%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 10:25
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -5.66%E -2.89%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 10:25
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -5.66%E -2.89%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 10:25
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-21 10:25
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-21 10:25
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-21 10:25
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-21 10:25
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-21 10:25
ATG (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-21 10:25
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-21 10:24
BetRivers3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.08%EV -6.62%E -3.41%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-21 10:14
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.58%EV -23.52%E -6.82%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.96%EV -7.58%E -3.95%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-21 10:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-07-21 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-07-21 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-07-21 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-07-21 10:25
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-07-21 10:25
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%1.5%2026-07-21 10:25