The School of Odds

Incheon United v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

2026-07-18 10:30 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Incheon United (Local)

Prediction 28.90%3.46fair odd
EV -7.52%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -3.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.90%28.90%28.90%29.02%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.053.113.103.2033%32%32%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit)

Prediction 42.66%2.34fair odd
EV -7.00%
Edge -3.21%
Kelly -5.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.43%42.66%42.66%42.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.072.122.122.1848%47%47%46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.44%3.52fair odd
EV -7.57%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.44%28.44%28.44%28.56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.163.153.2532%32%32%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.52%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -7.00%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-11 10:49
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -9.56%E -4.51%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -10.41%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-11 10:50
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -9.56%E -4.51%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -10.41%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-11 10:49
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -9.56%E -4.51%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -10.41%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-11 10:49
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -9.56%E -4.51%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -10.41%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-11 10:49
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -9.56%E -4.51%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -10.41%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-11 10:49
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -9.56%E -4.51%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -10.41%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-11 10:49
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -9.56%E -4.51%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -10.41%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-11 10:49
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -9.56%E -4.51%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -10.41%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-11 10:50
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -9.56%E -4.51%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -10.41%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-11 10:49
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -9.56%E -4.51%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -10.41%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-11 10:49
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -10.41%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-11 10:49
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.62%EV -11.69%E -5.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-11 10:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.