Language:English
Incheon United v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Incheon United (Local)
Prediction 30.39%3.29fair odd
EV -0.309%
Edge -0.094%
Kelly -0.136%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.28%30.34%30.49%31.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.023.053.2835.71%33.16%32.79%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit)
Prediction 39.03%2.56fair odd
EV -0.876%
Edge -0.345%
Kelly -0.569%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.24%39.13%38.93%41.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.302.302.5447.17%43.54%43.48%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.58%3.27fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.571%
Kelly -0.830%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.98%30.53%30.58%31.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.823.033.003.2135.46%32.96%33.33%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Incheon United (Local): 30.39%; Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit): 39.03%; Draw: 30.58%. For Incheon United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.28, with an expected value of -0.309%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.52%EV -0.309%E -0.094%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.44%E -0.975%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.75%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-18 10:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.55%EV -3.96%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -7.12%E -2.99%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.23%EV -8.56%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 10:20 |
| 1xBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.26%E -1.35%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -7.90%E -3.35%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.59%EV -1.83%E -0.571%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -4.26%E -1.35%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -12.97%E -5.82%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| DraftKings | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.39%E -1.79%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -8.29%E -3.53%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 09:55 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.34%E -2.64%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-18 09:45 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.29%E -3.53%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.34%E -2.64%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.29%E -3.53%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -14.14%E -6.43%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.24%EV -0.876%E -0.345%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.74%EV -8.87%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-18 10:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.24%EV -0.876%E -0.345%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.74%EV -8.87%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-18 10:20 |
| SportsBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.29%E -3.53%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.67%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 09:50 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.05%EV -5.56%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-18 10:20 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| TABtouch | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| Casumo | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| betPARX | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.38%EV -15.71%E -7.27%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.82%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.29%E -3.53%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 09:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.82%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.34%E -2.64%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.82%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 09:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.82%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.34%E -2.64%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.82%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.34%E -2.64%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -8.82%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -17.27%E -8.14%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.81%EV -9.43%E -3.16%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -7.12%E -2.99%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Betsson | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.81%EV -9.43%E -3.16%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -7.12%E -2.99%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.34%E -3.50%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -8.29%E -3.53%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -10.34%E -3.50%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.58%EV -11.25%E -3.85%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.16%EV -11.02%E -4.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.27%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-18 10:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.86%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -8.29%E -3.53%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -11.86%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-18 09:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.86%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-18 09:50 |
| Coral | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.86%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-18 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.86%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-18 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.86%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-18 09:45 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.86%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-18 09:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -12.47%E -4.33%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-18 09:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.55%EV -12.47%E -4.33%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.11%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.34%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -13.38%E -4.69%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.65%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -13.76%E -4.88%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-07-18 10:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -14.90%E -5.32%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-07-18 10:20 |
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-07-18 10:20 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.98% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.07% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95% | 2.6% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| Kalshi | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.11% | 3.0% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |