La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Incheon United v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Incheon United (Local)
Predicción 30.39%3.29momio equitativo
EV -0.309%
Ventaja -0.094%
Kelly -0.136%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.28%30.34%30.49%31.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.023.053.2835.71%33.16%32.79%30.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visitante)
Predicción 39.03%2.56momio equitativo
EV -0.876%
Ventaja -0.345%
Kelly -0.569%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.24%39.13%38.93%41.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.302.302.5447.17%43.54%43.48%39.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.58%3.27momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -0.571%
Kelly -0.830%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.98%30.53%30.58%31.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.823.033.003.2135.46%32.96%33.33%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.52%EV -0.309%E -0.094%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.44%E -0.975%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.75%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-18 10:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.55%EV -3.96%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -7.12%E -2.99%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.23%EV -8.56%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 10:20 |
| 1xBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.26%E -1.35%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -7.90%E -3.35%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.59%EV -1.83%E -0.571%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -4.26%E -1.35%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -12.97%E -5.82%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| DraftKings | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.39%E -1.79%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -8.29%E -3.53%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 09:55 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.34%E -2.64%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-18 09:45 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.29%E -3.53%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.34%E -2.64%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.29%E -3.53%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -14.14%E -6.43%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.24%EV -0.876%E -0.345%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.74%EV -8.87%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-18 10:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.24%EV -0.876%E -0.345%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.74%EV -8.87%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-18 10:20 |
| SportsBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.29%E -3.53%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.67%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 09:50 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.05%EV -5.56%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-18 10:20 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| TABtouch | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| Casumo | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| betPARX | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.38%EV -15.71%E -7.27%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.82%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.29%E -3.53%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 09:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.82%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.34%E -2.64%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.82%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 09:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.82%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.34%E -2.64%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.82%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.34%E -2.64%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -8.82%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -17.27%E -8.14%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.81%EV -9.43%E -3.16%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -7.12%E -2.99%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Betsson | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.81%EV -9.43%E -3.16%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -7.12%E -2.99%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.34%E -3.50%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -8.29%E -3.53%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -10.34%E -3.50%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.58%EV -11.25%E -3.85%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.16%EV -11.02%E -4.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.27%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-18 10:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.86%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -8.29%E -3.53%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -11.86%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-18 09:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.86%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-18 09:50 |
| Coral | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.86%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-18 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.86%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-18 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.86%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-18 09:45 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.86%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-18 09:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -12.47%E -4.33%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-18 09:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.55%EV -12.47%E -4.33%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.11%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.34%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -13.38%E -4.69%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.65%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -13.76%E -4.88%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-07-18 10:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -14.90%E -5.32%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-07-18 10:20 |
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-07-18 10:20 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.98% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.07% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95% | 2.6% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| Kalshi | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.11% | 3.0% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |