L’École des cotes

Incheon United v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-18 10:30 UTC

Score final : Incheon United 1–0 Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Incheon United (Local)

Prévision 30.39%3.29cote équitable
EV -0.309%
Avantage -0.094%
Kelly -0.136%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.28%30.34%30.49%31.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.023.053.2835.71%33.16%32.79%30.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.03%2.56cote équitable
EV -0.876%
Avantage -0.345%
Kelly -0.569%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.24%39.13%38.93%41.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.302.302.5447.17%43.54%43.48%39.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.58%3.27cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -0.571%
Kelly -0.830%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.98%30.53%30.58%31.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.823.033.003.2135.46%32.96%33.33%31.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.28I 30.49%NM 29.52%EV -0.309%E -0.094%K -0.136%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.44%E -0.975%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.75%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-18 10:20
Marathon Bet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.55%EV -3.96%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -7.12%E -2.99%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.23%EV -8.56%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 10:20
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.26%E -1.35%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -7.90%E -3.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.59%EV -1.83%E -0.571%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 10:25
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -4.26%E -1.35%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -12.97%E -5.82%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 10:15
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.39%E -1.79%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 10:05
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -8.29%E -3.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 09:55
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.34%E -2.64%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 10:10
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 09:45
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.29%E -3.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 10:25
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.34%E -2.64%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 10:10
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.29%E -3.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.78%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -14.14%E -6.43%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 10:15
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.24%EV -0.876%E -0.345%K -0.569%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.74%EV -8.87%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 10:20
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.24%EV -0.876%E -0.345%K -0.569%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.74%EV -8.87%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 10:20
SportsBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.29%E -3.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.67%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 09:50
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.05%EV -5.56%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 10:20
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:15
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:15
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:15
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:15
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:15
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:15
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:15
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:15
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:15
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -15.32%E -7.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:15
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -7.30%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.38%EV -15.71%E -7.27%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 10:15
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.82%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.29%E -3.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 09:50
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.82%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.34%E -2.64%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 10:10
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.82%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 09:50
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.82%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.34%E -2.64%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 10:25
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.82%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.34%E -2.64%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 10:25
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -8.82%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -17.27%E -8.14%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-18 10:15
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 30.81%EV -9.43%E -3.16%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -7.12%E -2.99%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 10:10
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 30.81%EV -9.43%E -3.16%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -7.12%E -2.99%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 10:10
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.34%E -3.50%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -8.29%E -3.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 10:10
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -10.34%E -3.50%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-18 10:10
Betclic (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 30.58%EV -11.25%E -3.85%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.16%EV -11.02%E -4.83%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.27%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 10:09
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.86%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -8.29%E -3.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 10:10
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -11.86%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 09:50
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.86%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.24%E -4.45%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 09:50
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.86%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 09:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.86%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.86%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 09:45
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.86%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 09:45
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -12.47%E -4.33%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-18 09:50
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.55%EV -12.47%E -4.33%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.11%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.34%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-18 10:10
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -13.38%E -4.69%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.65%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -13.76%E -4.88%K -7.56%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-18 10:14
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -14.90%E -5.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -12.19%E -5.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-18 10:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-07-18 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-07-18 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-07-18 10:20
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-07-18 10:20
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.98%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.07%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%2.6%2026-07-18 10:25
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.11%3.0%2026-07-18 10:25