Language:English
Incheon United v Gangwon FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Incheon United (Local)
Prediction 30.38%3.29fair odd
EV +0.240%
Edge +0.073%
Kelly +0.105%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.75%30.44%30.32%31.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.962.903.3036.36%33.74%34.48%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gangwon FC (Visit)
Prediction 39.08%2.56fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.66%38.97%39.12%39.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.342.352.4946.08%42.73%42.55%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.55%3.27fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.58%30.59%30.57%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.982.983.1536.36%33.56%33.56%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Incheon United (Local): 30.38%; Gangwon FC (Visit): 39.08%; Draw: 30.55%. For Incheon United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.240%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV +0.240%E +0.073%K +0.105%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.43%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.05%EV -9.58%E -3.24%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.69%EV -0.975%E -0.299%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.88%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.43%EV -5.91%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -1.28%E -0.393%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.80%EV -7.00%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -7.00%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 07:26 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.78%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -7.00%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -7.00%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.82%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.82%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.38%EV -7.96%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.34%EV -3.09%E -1.25%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.28%EV -4.08%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.00%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -4.26%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.00%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.09%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -9.34%E -4.03%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -12.02%E -4.17%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.90%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.68%EV -15.20%E -7.01%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 30.42%EV -13.55%E -4.79%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.63%EV -12.82%E -4.47%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.07%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.26%EV -12.82%E -4.47%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.48%EV -14.03%E -6.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.26%EV -12.33%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -13.43%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -13.43%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -10.91%E -4.78%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.01%EV -13.43%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.88%EV -14.03%E -6.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -15.99%E -5.82%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -14.95%E -5.34%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -16.47%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.83%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -12.94%E -4.54%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.78% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.14% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08% | 2.2% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.00% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45% | 2.6% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.35% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74% | 3.3% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.87% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.53% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.84% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |