La scuola delle quote

Incheon United v Gangwon FC

Inizio: 2026-05-02 07:32 UTC

Finale: Incheon United 0–1 Gangwon FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Incheon United (Casa)

Previsione 30.38%3.29quota equa
EV +0.240%
Vantaggio +0.073%
Kelly +0.105%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.75%30.44%30.32%31.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.962.903.3036.36%33.74%34.48%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gangwon FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.08%2.56quota equa
EV -2.70%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -1.81%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.49

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.66%38.97%39.12%39.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.172.342.352.4946.08%42.73%42.55%40.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.55%3.27quota equa
EV -3.78%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -1.76%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.58%30.59%30.57%32.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.982.983.1536.36%33.56%33.56%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV +0.240%E +0.073%K +0.105%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.43%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.05%EV -9.58%E -3.24%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 07:30
Pinnacle3.26I 30.67%NM 29.69%EV -0.975%E -0.299%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.88%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.43%EV -5.91%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-02 07:29
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -1.28%E -0.393%K -0.568%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.80%EV -7.00%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 07:29
Marathon Bet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -7.00%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 07:26
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.78%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 07:29
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -7.00%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 07:30
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 07:29
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 07:31
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -7.00%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 07:30
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.82%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 07:29
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.82%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 07:29
1xBet3.03I 33.00%NM 31.38%EV -7.96%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.34%EV -3.09%E -1.25%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.28%EV -4.08%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 07:29
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 07:30
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 07:29
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 07:29
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 07:30
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 07:30
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.00%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 07:31
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 07:30
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -4.26%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 07:30
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 07:30
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 07:31
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 07:29
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 07:31
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.00%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 07:30
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.09%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -9.34%E -4.03%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 07:31
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-02 07:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-02 07:29
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -12.02%E -4.17%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 07:29
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 07:31
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 07:30
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 07:30
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 07:29
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 07:29
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 07:30
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 07:29
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 07:30
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 07:30
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 07:31
Betclic (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.90%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.68%EV -15.20%E -7.01%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 30.42%EV -13.55%E -4.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-02 07:29
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 30.63%EV -12.82%E -4.47%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.07%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-02 07:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 30.26%EV -12.82%E -4.47%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.48%EV -14.03%E -6.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.26%EV -12.33%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 07:31
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -13.43%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 07:30
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -13.43%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -10.91%E -4.78%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 07:31
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.01%EV -13.43%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.88%EV -14.03%E -6.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -15.99%E -5.82%K -9.14%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-02 07:30
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -14.95%E -5.34%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-02 07:30
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -16.47%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.83%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -12.94%E -4.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-02 07:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-05-02 07:31
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.78%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.14%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08%2.2%2026-05-02 07:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.00%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45%2.6%2026-05-02 07:31
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%3.3%2026-05-02 07:31
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.87%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.53%5.0%2026-05-02 07:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%7.3%2026-05-02 07:31