La escuela de los momiosIncheon United v Gangwon FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Incheon United (Local)
Predicción 30.38%3.29momio equitativo
EV +0.240%
Ventaja +0.073%
Kelly +0.105%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.75%30.44%30.32%31.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.962.903.3036.36%33.74%34.48%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Gangwon FC (Visitante)
Predicción 39.08%2.56momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.66%38.97%39.12%39.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.172.342.352.4946.08%42.73%42.55%40.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.55%3.27momio equitativo
EV -3.78%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.58%30.59%30.57%32.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.982.983.1536.36%33.56%33.56%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV +0.240%E +0.073%K +0.105%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.43%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.05%EV -9.58%E -3.24%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| Pinnacle | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.69%EV -0.975%E -0.299%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.88%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.43%EV -5.91%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -1.28%E -0.393%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.80%EV -7.00%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -7.00%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 07:26 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.78%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -7.00%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -7.00%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| NordicBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.82%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| Betsson | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.82%EV -8.97%E -3.01%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| 1xBet | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.38%EV -7.96%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.34%EV -3.09%E -1.25%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.28%EV -4.08%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.00%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -4.26%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.00%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.09%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -9.34%E -4.03%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -12.02%E -4.17%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Unibet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| Grosvenor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| Casumo | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| betPARX | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.90%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.68%EV -15.20%E -7.01%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 30.42%EV -13.55%E -4.79%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-02 07:29 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.63%EV -12.82%E -4.47%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.07%EV -12.08%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.26%EV -12.82%E -4.47%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.48%EV -14.03%E -6.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.26%EV -12.33%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -13.43%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.22%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -13.43%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -10.91%E -4.78%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.01%EV -13.43%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.88%EV -14.03%E -6.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -15.99%E -5.82%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -14.95%E -5.34%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -16.47%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.83%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -12.94%E -4.54%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Smarkets | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.78% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.14% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08% | 2.2% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.00% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45% | 2.6% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Matchbook | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.35% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74% | 3.3% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Kalshi | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.87% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.53% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.84% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |