The School of Odds

Incheon United v FC Anyang

2026-07-12 10:30 — K League 1

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (7 in analysis)

Option 1: Incheon United (Local)

Odds
1.8653.76%Min
2.0050.01%Mean
2.0050.00%Median
2.0848.08%Max
Consensus probabilities
44.39%2.253Min
46.43%2.154Max
45.91%2.178Mean
46.03%2.172Median
45.99%2.174IQM
45.91%2.178Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.08 under the IQM model: 45.99%

EV -4.34%Edge -2.09%Kelly -4.02%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: FC Anyang (Visit)

Odds
3.2530.77%Min
3.5628.07%Mean
3.6027.78%Median
3.8026.32%Max
Consensus probabilities
24.95%4.008Min
26.67%3.750Max
25.19%3.970Mean
25.20%3.969Median
25.20%3.969IQM
25.17%3.974Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.80 under the IQM model: 25.20%

EV -4.26%Edge -1.12%Kelly -1.52%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
2.9533.90%Min
3.1331.91%Mean
3.1531.75%Median
3.2930.40%Max
Consensus probabilities
28.44%3.516Min
30.33%3.297Max
28.90%3.460Mean
28.77%3.476Median
28.82%3.470IQM
28.93%3.457Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.29 under the IQM model: 28.82%

EV -5.20%Edge -1.58%Kelly -2.27%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

BookmakerIncheon United (Local) ▼FC Anyang (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet2.08I 48.08% NM 45.09%EV -4.34% E -2.09% K -4.02% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.05%EV -9.30% E -2.58% K -3.58% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.86%EV -6.35% E -1.95% K -2.82% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 11:50
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31% NM 46.00%EV -4.80% E -2.32% K -4.49% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 25.06%EV -4.26% E -1.12% K -1.52% G +0.000%3.29I 30.40% NM 28.94%EV -5.20% E -1.58% K -2.27% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 11:55
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78% NM 45.14%EV -5.72% E -2.79% K -5.45% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.01%EV -6.78% E -1.83% K -2.51% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.85%EV -10.67% E -3.44% K -5.08% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 13:00
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78% NM 44.92%EV -5.72% E -2.79% K -5.45% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.31%EV -11.82% E -3.38% K -4.73% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.77%EV -7.79% E -2.43% K -3.54% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 11:50
William Hill2.05I 48.78% NM 44.39%EV -5.72% E -2.79% K -5.45% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.28%EV -9.30% E -2.58% K -3.58% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.33%EV -13.55% E -4.52% K -6.78% G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-05 11:44
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78% NM 44.39%EV -5.72% E -2.79% K -5.45% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.28%EV -9.30% E -2.58% K -3.58% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.33%EV -13.55% E -4.52% K -6.78% G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-05 11:45
1xBet2.03I 49.26% NM 46.15%EV -6.64% E -3.27% K -6.45% G +0.000%3.73I 26.81% NM 25.12%EV -6.02% E -1.61% K -2.21% G +0.000%3.26I 30.67% NM 28.74%EV -6.06% E -1.86% K -2.68% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 11:00
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75% NM 46.43%EV -7.56% E -3.76% K -7.49% G +0.000%3.74I 26.74% NM 24.95%EV -5.77% E -1.54% K -2.11% G +0.000%3.26I 30.67% NM 28.62%EV -6.06% E -1.86% K -2.68% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 10:50
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00% NM 45.86%EV -8.02% E -4.01% K -8.02% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.48%EV -9.30% E -2.58% K -3.58% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.66%EV -7.79% E -2.43% K -3.54% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 10:55
Fanatics2.00I 50.00% NM 45.86%EV -8.02% E -4.01% K -8.02% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.48%EV -9.30% E -2.58% K -3.58% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.66%EV -7.79% E -2.43% K -3.54% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 10:55
NordicBet2.00I 50.00% NM 45.81%EV -8.02% E -4.01% K -8.02% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 25.10%EV -8.04% E -2.20% K -3.03% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.09%EV -9.23% E -2.93% K -4.29% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 10:50
Betsson2.00I 50.00% NM 45.81%EV -8.02% E -4.01% K -8.02% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 25.10%EV -8.04% E -2.20% K -3.03% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.09%EV -9.23% E -2.93% K -4.29% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 10:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00% NM 45.11%EV -8.02% E -4.01% K -8.02% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.78%EV -11.82% E -3.38% K -4.73% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.11%EV -10.67% E -3.44% K -5.08% G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-05 11:50
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51% NM 45.57%EV -8.94% E -4.52% K -9.12% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.78%EV -11.82% E -3.38% K -4.73% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.65%EV -9.23% E -2.93% K -4.29% G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-05 11:50
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28% NM 44.44%EV -10.32% E -5.29% K -10.86% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 26.67%EV -18.11% E -5.57% K -8.05% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 28.89%EV -13.55% E -4.52% K -6.78% G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-05 11:50
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36% NM 46.26%EV -12.16% E -6.37% K -13.36% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.24%EV -11.82% E -3.38% K -4.73% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.50%EV -10.67% E -3.44% K -5.08% G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-05 11:00
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63% NM 45.66%EV -12.62% E -6.64% K -14.02% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 25.90%EV -15.60% E -4.66% K -6.64% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 28.44%EV -12.11% E -3.97% K -5.91% G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-05 10:50
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76% NM 45.40%EV -14.46% E -7.77% K -16.81% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 25.98%EV -18.11% E -5.57% K -8.05% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 28.62%EV -14.99% E -5.08% K -7.69% G +0.000%18.4%2026-07-05 10:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerIncheon United (Local)FC Anyang (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%3.75I 26.67%2.80I 35.71%10.9%2026-07-05 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%3.75I 26.67%2.80I 35.71%10.9%2026-07-05 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%3.75I 26.67%2.80I 35.71%10.9%2026-07-05 13:25
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%3.50I 28.57%3.00I 33.33%13.2%2026-07-05 13:25