La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Incheon United v FC Anyang
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Incheon United (Local)
Predicción 43.32%2.31momio equitativo
EV -3.40%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -2.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.57%43.44%43.32%46.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.882.072.102.2353.19%48.24%47.62%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Anyang (Visitante)
Predicción 26.45%3.78momio equitativo
EV +0.526%
Ventaja +0.138%
Kelly +0.188%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.23%26.39%26.61%28.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.483.503.8031.25%28.76%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.23%3.31momio equitativo
EV -0.256%
Ventaja -0.078%
Kelly -0.111%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.87%30.17%30.07%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.073.053.3035.09%32.58%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.36%EV -3.40%E -1.52%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV +0.526%E +0.138%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.70%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -0.797%E -0.213%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 10:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.70%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -0.797%E -0.213%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.35%EV -6.43%E -2.98%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -3.44%E -0.943%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.00%EV -8.72%E -2.89%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-12 10:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.57%EV -7.29%E -3.41%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -3.44%E -0.943%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.88%EV -8.72%E -2.89%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -14.66%E -7.44%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -3.44%E -0.943%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -0.256%E -0.078%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| Bovada | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -7.29%E -3.41%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -3.44%E -0.943%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.70%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.77%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 10:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.77%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-12 09:49 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.77%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.77%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-12 09:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -15.53%E -7.96%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -4.77%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -1.77%E -0.544%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-12 10:14 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 10:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -15.96%E -8.23%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-12 10:14 |
| Unibet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -15.96%E -8.23%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-12 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -15.96%E -8.23%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-12 10:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.58%EV -16.39%E -8.49%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-12 10:14 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.58%EV -16.39%E -8.49%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-12 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.58%EV -16.39%E -8.49%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-12 10:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.58%EV -16.39%E -8.49%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-12 10:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.58%EV -16.39%E -8.49%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-12 10:14 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.58%EV -16.39%E -8.49%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-12 10:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.58%EV -16.39%E -8.49%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-12 10:14 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 09:43 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 10:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.41%EV -16.39%E -8.49%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-12 10:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-12 09:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -18.56%E -9.87%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -8.73%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-12 10:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.70%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-12 10:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-12 08:54 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -4.70%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -4.70%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -8.16%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-12 09:44 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -8.16%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-12 09:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-12 09:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -13.36%E -6.68%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-12 10:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.38%E -3.40%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.50%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.78%EV -11.91%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-12 10:03 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.70%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-12 09:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -12.70%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-12 08:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.70%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-12 08:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.33%EV -13.36%E -6.68%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.26%EV -12.70%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.41%EV -13.86%E -4.86%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.35%E -4.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-12 10:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.35%E -4.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-12 10:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.35%E -4.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-12 10:04 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.35%E -4.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-12 10:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.35%E -4.80%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-12 09:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 45.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01% | 0.1% | 2026-07-12 10:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.46% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-07-12 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.32% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 1.2% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.32% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 1.2% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.61% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80% | 1.5% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |