A Escola das Odds

Incheon United v FC Anyang

Início: 2026-07-12 10:30 UTC

Final: Incheon United 0–1 FC Anyang

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Incheon United (Local)

Previsão 43.32%2.31odd justa
EV -3.40%
Vantagem -1.52%
Kelly -2.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.57%43.44%43.32%46.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.882.072.102.2353.19%48.24%47.62%44.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Anyang (Visitante)

Previsão 26.45%3.78odd justa
EV +0.526%
Vantagem +0.138%
Kelly +0.188%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.23%26.39%26.61%28.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.483.503.8031.25%28.76%28.57%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.23%3.31odd justa
EV -0.256%
Vantagem -0.078%
Kelly -0.111%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.87%30.17%30.07%31.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.853.073.053.3035.09%32.58%32.79%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.36%EV -3.40%E -1.52%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV +0.526%E +0.138%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-12 10:20
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.70%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -0.797%E -0.213%K -0.290%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 10:19
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.70%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -0.797%E -0.213%K -0.290%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 10:20
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.35%EV -6.43%E -2.98%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -3.44%E -0.943%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.00%EV -8.72%E -2.89%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 10:25
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.57%EV -7.29%E -3.41%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -3.44%E -0.943%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.88%EV -8.72%E -2.89%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 10:25
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -14.66%E -7.44%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -3.44%E -0.943%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -0.256%E -0.078%K -0.111%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 10:20
Bovada2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -7.29%E -3.41%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -3.44%E -0.943%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 10:24
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.70%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.77%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 10:10
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.77%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 09:49
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.77%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 10:24
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.77%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -15.53%E -7.96%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -4.77%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -1.77%E -0.544%K -0.785%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 10:14
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 10:09
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -15.96%E -8.23%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 10:14
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -15.96%E -8.23%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 10:10
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -15.96%E -8.23%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 10:14
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 46.58%EV -16.39%E -8.49%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-12 10:14
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 46.58%EV -16.39%E -8.49%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-12 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.58%EV -16.39%E -8.49%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-12 10:14
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 46.58%EV -16.39%E -8.49%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-12 10:14
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.58%EV -16.39%E -8.49%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-12 10:14
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 46.58%EV -16.39%E -8.49%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-12 10:15
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.58%EV -16.39%E -8.49%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-12 10:14
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 10:20
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 09:43
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 10:19
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 46.41%EV -16.39%E -8.49%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-12 10:14
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-12 09:50
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -18.56%E -9.87%K -21.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -8.73%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-12 10:10
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.70%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 10:05
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 10:24
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 08:54
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -4.70%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 10:24
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -4.70%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 10:24
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -8.16%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 09:44
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -8.16%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 09:45
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-12 09:49
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -13.36%E -6.68%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-12 10:04
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.38%E -3.40%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 10:20
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.50%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.78%EV -11.91%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-12 10:03
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.70%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-12 09:45
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -12.70%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-12 08:50
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.70%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-12 08:54
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.33%EV -13.36%E -6.68%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.26%EV -12.70%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.41%EV -13.86%E -4.86%K -7.49%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-12 10:24
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.35%E -4.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 10:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.35%E -4.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 10:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.35%E -4.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 10:04
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.35%E -4.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 10:04
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.35%E -4.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-12 09:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 45.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01%0.1%2026-07-12 10:10
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%0.9%2026-07-12 10:24
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-07-12 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-07-12 10:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-07-12 10:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.5%2026-07-12 10:24