Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Incheon United v Daejeon Citizen

Início: 2026-09-20 10:00 UTC

Final: Incheon United 1–1 Daejeon Citizen

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Incheon United (Local)

Previsão 30.95%3.23odd justa
EV -1.59%
Vantagem -0.499%
Kelly -0.728%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.60%31.00%30.94%33.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.552.852.873.1839.22%35.05%34.84%31.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Daejeon Citizen (Visitante)

Previsão 40.31%2.48odd justa
EV -2.06%
Vantagem -0.847%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.85%40.28%40.37%41.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.312.312.4348.78%43.29%43.29%41.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.75%3.48odd justa
EV -2.26%
Vantagem -0.664%
Kelly -0.941%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.79%28.72%28.69%30.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.133.103.4034.48%31.90%32.26%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Incheon United (Local): 30.95%; Daejeon Citizen (Visitante): 40.31%; Empate: 28.75%. Para Incheon United (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.23. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.18, com valor esperado de -1.59%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.43%EV -1.59%E -0.499%K -0.728%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.33%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.24%EV -4.85%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 09:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -2.52%E -0.799%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.03%EV -4.88%E -2.07%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 09:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -2.52%E -0.799%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.03%EV -4.88%E -2.07%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 09:35
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 09:49
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 09:29
1xBet🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 30.85%EV -6.23%E -2.06%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.94%EV -5.69%E -2.43%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 09:48
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 30.81%EV -6.54%E -2.17%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.11%EV -6.49%E -2.80%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 09:44
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 09:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 09:29
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 09:35
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 09:59
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.83%EV -6.89%E -2.98%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.49%EV -10.31%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 09:43
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 09:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 09:44
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 09:29
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 09:29
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -10.25%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.26%E -0.664%K -0.941%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 09:29
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -10.25%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -3.70%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 09:44
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.25%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 09:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.25%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 09:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.87%E -3.78%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 09:29
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.87%E -3.78%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 09:29
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.87%E -3.78%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 09:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -10.87%E -3.78%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.13%EV -14.15%E -6.64%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.45%EV -11.46%E -3.72%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-20 09:33
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.18%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 09:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.18%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 09:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 30.64%EV -11.18%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.53%EV -12.54%E -5.78%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-20 09:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -11.80%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.13%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 09:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -11.80%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.66%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 09:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.08%EV -11.80%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.82%EV -17.37%E -8.48%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.11%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-20 09:29
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -4.07%E -1.71%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 09:29
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 09:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 09:43
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-20 09:59
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -14.90%E -5.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-20 09:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.85%EV -2.06%E -0.847%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 09:49
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 09:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 09:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 09:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 09:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 09:49
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 09:49
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 09:49
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 09:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 09:49
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 09:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.54%EV -18.61%E -7.08%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.06%EV -4.07%E -1.71%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-20 09:49
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.00%EV -18.61%E -7.08%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.07%EV -8.10%E -3.55%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.93%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-13 10:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.57%EV -21.08%E -8.27%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 36.90%EV -6.49%E -2.80%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.52%EV -16.63%E -5.74%K -8.75%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-20 09:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-09-20 09:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%1.6%2026-09-20 09:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%1.6%2026-09-20 09:59
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%1.6%2026-09-20 09:59
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.19%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-09-20 09:49
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.48%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%2.5%2026-09-20 09:59