Iniciar sesión con Sole Account
Idioma:Español
Incheon United v Daejeon Citizen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Incheon United (Local)
Predicción 30.95%3.23momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -0.499%
Kelly -0.728%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.60%31.00%30.94%33.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.852.873.1839.22%35.05%34.84%31.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Daejeon Citizen (Visitante)
Predicción 40.31%2.48momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -0.847%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.85%40.28%40.37%41.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.312.312.4348.78%43.29%43.29%41.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.75%3.48momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -0.664%
Kelly -0.941%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.79%28.72%28.69%30.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.133.103.4034.48%31.90%32.26%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Incheon United (Local): 30.95%; Daejeon Citizen (Visitante): 40.31%; Empate: 28.75%. Para Incheon United (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.23. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.18, con un valor esperado de -1.59%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.43%EV -1.59%E -0.499%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.33%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.24%EV -4.85%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -2.52%E -0.799%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.03%EV -4.88%E -2.07%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 09:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -2.52%E -0.799%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.03%EV -4.88%E -2.07%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 09:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.85%EV -6.23%E -2.06%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.94%EV -5.69%E -2.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 09:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.81%EV -6.54%E -2.17%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.11%EV -6.49%E -2.80%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 09:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 09:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.83%EV -6.89%E -2.98%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.49%EV -10.31%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 09:43 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 09:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -10.25%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.26%E -0.664%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -10.25%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -3.70%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 09:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.25%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.25%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.87%E -3.78%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.87%E -3.78%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.87%E -3.78%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-20 09:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -10.87%E -3.78%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 41.13%EV -14.15%E -6.64%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.45%EV -11.46%E -3.72%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-20 09:33 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.18%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.18%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.64%EV -11.18%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.53%EV -12.54%E -5.78%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-20 09:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -11.80%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.13%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-20 09:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -11.80%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.66%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.08%EV -11.80%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.82%EV -17.37%E -8.48%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.11%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -4.07%E -1.71%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 09:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 09:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -14.90%E -5.42%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-20 09:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.85%EV -2.06%E -0.847%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.54%EV -18.61%E -7.08%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.06%EV -4.07%E -1.71%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.00%EV -18.61%E -7.08%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.07%EV -8.10%E -3.55%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.93%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-13 10:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.57%EV -21.08%E -8.27%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 36.90%EV -6.49%E -2.80%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.52%EV -16.63%E -5.74%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 1.6% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 1.6% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 1.6% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.19% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 2.0% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.48% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55% | 2.5% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |