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Incheon United v Daejeon Citizen
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Incheon United (Local)
Prévision 30.95%3.23cote équitable
EV -1.59%
Avantage -0.499%
Kelly -0.728%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.60%31.00%30.94%33.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.852.873.1839.22%35.05%34.84%31.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Daejeon Citizen (Visiteur)
Prévision 40.31%2.48cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -0.847%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.43
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.85%40.28%40.37%41.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.312.312.4348.78%43.29%43.29%41.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 28.75%3.48cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -0.664%
Kelly -0.941%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.79%28.72%28.69%30.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.133.103.4034.48%31.90%32.26%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Incheon United (Local) : 30.95% ; Daejeon Citizen (Visiteur) : 40.31% ; Match nul : 28.75%. Pour Incheon United (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.23. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.18, pour une espérance de -1.59% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.43%EV -1.59%E -0.499%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.33%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.24%EV -4.85%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -2.52%E -0.799%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.03%EV -4.88%E -2.07%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 09:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -2.52%E -0.799%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.03%EV -4.88%E -2.07%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 09:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.85%EV -6.23%E -2.06%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.94%EV -5.69%E -2.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 09:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.81%EV -6.54%E -2.17%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.11%EV -6.49%E -2.80%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 09:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 09:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.83%EV -6.89%E -2.98%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.49%EV -10.31%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 09:43 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 09:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -10.25%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.26%E -0.664%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -10.25%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -3.70%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 09:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.25%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.25%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.87%E -3.78%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.87%E -3.78%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.87%E -3.78%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-20 09:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -10.87%E -3.78%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 41.13%EV -14.15%E -6.64%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.45%EV -11.46%E -3.72%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-20 09:33 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.18%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.18%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.64%EV -11.18%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.53%EV -12.54%E -5.78%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-20 09:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -11.80%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.13%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-20 09:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -11.80%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.66%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.08%EV -11.80%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.82%EV -17.37%E -8.48%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.11%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -4.07%E -1.71%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 09:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 09:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -14.90%E -5.42%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-20 09:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.85%EV -2.06%E -0.847%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -17.99%E -6.79%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.54%EV -18.61%E -7.08%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.06%EV -4.07%E -1.71%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.00%EV -18.61%E -7.08%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.07%EV -8.10%E -3.55%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.93%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-13 10:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.57%EV -21.08%E -8.27%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 36.90%EV -6.49%E -2.80%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.52%EV -16.63%E -5.74%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 1.6% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 1.6% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 1.6% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.19% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 2.0% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.48% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55% | 2.5% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |