Language:English
Incheon United v Daejeon Citizen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Incheon United (Local)
Prediction 35.22%2.84fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.366%
Kelly -0.568%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.89%35.24%35.24%37.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.552.502.8143.10%39.27%40.00%35.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daejeon Citizen (Visit)
Prediction 35.01%2.86fair odd
EV -0.231%
Edge -0.081%
Kelly -0.125%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.14%34.94%35.03%36.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.632.652.8542.55%38.01%37.74%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.77%3.36fair odd
EV -0.562%
Edge -0.168%
Kelly -0.240%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.43%29.82%29.73%31.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.053.003.3434.48%32.77%33.33%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Incheon United (Local): 35.22%; Daejeon Citizen (Visit): 35.01%; Draw: 29.77%. For Daejeon Citizen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -0.231%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.49%EV -1.03%E -0.366%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.12%EV -3.38%E -1.23%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.39%EV -5.03%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.90%E -1.82%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -0.231%E -0.081%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -8.30%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.90%E -1.82%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -0.231%E -0.081%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -8.30%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -4.90%E -1.82%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.22%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -4.90%E -1.82%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -4.90%E -1.82%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-18 10:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.65%EV -5.25%E -1.95%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -6.18%E -2.31%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.34%EV -5.61%E -2.09%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.99%EV -7.93%E -3.02%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-18 10:18 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.66%E -2.51%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -3.24%E -0.998%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.66%E -2.51%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -6.22%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.66%E -2.51%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.66%E -2.51%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.72%E -2.95%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -8.28%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -3.24%E -0.998%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.72%E -2.95%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -8.98%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.72%E -2.95%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -8.98%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.42%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.42%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.98%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%EV -9.13%E -3.54%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.79%EV -8.28%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%EV -9.13%E -3.54%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.79%EV -8.28%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -10.19%E -3.99%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -10.73%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -6.22%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.19%E -3.99%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.73%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -10.89%E -4.30%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -2.33%E -0.835%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.43%EV -0.562%E -0.168%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-18 10:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-18 10:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 10:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 10:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-18 10:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 10:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 10:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 10:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 10:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 10:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 10:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 10:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 10:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 10:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 10:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -13.71%E -5.59%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -12.17%E -4.13%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -13.71%E -5.59%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.14%EV -16.17%E -6.80%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.40%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.46%EV -13.07%E -4.47%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.54%EV -17.23%E -7.33%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.35%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.11%EV -12.17%E -4.13%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-18 10:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -17.23%E -7.33%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -17.73%E -7.55%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.83%EV -13.66%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 36.94%EV -18.29%E -7.88%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.01%EV -11.78%E -4.68%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.05%EV -12.17%E -4.13%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-18 10:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33% | 1.4% | 2026-03-18 10:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33% | 1.4% | 2026-03-18 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33% | 1.4% | 2026-03-18 10:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33% | 1.4% | 2026-03-18 10:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.30% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38% | 1.9% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.86% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.86% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28% | 3.2% | 2026-03-18 10:25 |