L’École des cotes

Incheon United v Daejeon Citizen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-18 10:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Incheon United (Local)

Prévision 35.22%2.84cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.366%
Kelly -0.568%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.89%35.24%35.24%37.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.322.552.502.8143.10%39.27%40.00%35.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Daejeon Citizen (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.01%2.86cote équitable
EV -0.231%
Avantage -0.081%
Kelly -0.125%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.14%34.94%35.03%36.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.632.652.8542.55%38.01%37.74%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.77%3.36cote équitable
EV -0.562%
Avantage -0.168%
Kelly -0.240%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.43%29.82%29.73%31.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.053.003.3434.48%32.77%33.33%29.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.81I 35.59%NM 34.49%EV -1.03%E -0.366%K -0.568%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.12%EV -3.38%E -1.23%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.39%EV -5.03%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-18 10:20
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.90%E -1.82%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -0.231%E -0.081%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -8.30%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 10:20
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.90%E -1.82%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -0.231%E -0.081%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -8.30%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 10:19
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -4.90%E -1.82%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.22%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 10:19
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -4.90%E -1.82%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 10:20
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -4.90%E -1.82%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-18 10:24
Marathon Bet2.69I 37.17%NM 34.65%EV -5.25%E -1.95%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -6.18%E -2.31%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 10:19
Bovada2.68I 37.31%NM 34.34%EV -5.61%E -2.09%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.99%EV -7.93%E -3.02%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-18 10:18
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.66%E -2.51%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -3.24%E -0.998%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 10:20
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.66%E -2.51%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -6.22%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 10:19
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.66%E -2.51%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 10:19
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.66%E -2.51%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-18 10:20
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.72%E -2.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -8.28%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -3.24%E -0.998%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 10:19
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.72%E -2.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -8.98%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-18 10:20
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.72%E -2.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -8.98%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-18 10:19
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.42%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 10:19
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.42%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.98%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 10:19
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%EV -9.13%E -3.54%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.79%EV -8.28%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 10:19
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%EV -9.13%E -3.54%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.79%EV -8.28%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 10:19
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -10.19%E -3.99%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -10.73%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -6.22%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-18 10:20
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.19%E -3.99%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.73%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 10:19
1xBet2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -10.89%E -4.30%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -2.33%E -0.835%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.43%EV -0.562%E -0.168%K -0.240%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 10:24
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 10:14
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 10:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-18 10:15
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-18 10:20
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-18 10:19
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-18 10:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-18 10:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-18 10:20
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-18 10:19
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-18 10:04
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 10:14
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 10:14
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 10:14
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 10:15
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 10:14
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 10:14
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 10:14
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 10:15
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 10:14
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 10:14
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -13.71%E -5.59%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -12.17%E -4.13%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 00:50
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -13.71%E -5.59%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-18 10:20
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.14%EV -16.17%E -6.80%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.40%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.46%EV -13.07%E -4.47%K -6.81%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-18 10:19
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.54%EV -17.23%E -7.33%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.35%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.11%EV -12.17%E -4.13%K -6.24%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-18 10:25
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -17.23%E -7.33%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -17.73%E -7.55%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.83%EV -13.66%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-18 10:19
Unibet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 36.94%EV -18.29%E -7.88%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.01%EV -11.78%E -4.68%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.05%EV -12.17%E -4.13%K -6.24%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-18 10:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.4%2026-03-18 10:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.4%2026-03-18 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.4%2026-03-18 10:24
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.4%2026-03-18 10:25
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.30%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%1.9%2026-03-18 10:20
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 34.86%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%3.2%2026-03-18 10:25