La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Incheon United v Daejeon Citizen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Incheon United (Local)
Predicción 35.22%2.84momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.366%
Kelly -0.568%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.89%35.24%35.24%37.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.322.552.502.8143.10%39.27%40.00%35.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Daejeon Citizen (Visitante)
Predicción 35.01%2.86momio equitativo
EV -0.231%
Ventaja -0.081%
Kelly -0.125%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.14%34.94%35.03%36.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.632.652.8542.55%38.01%37.74%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.77%3.36momio equitativo
EV -0.562%
Ventaja -0.168%
Kelly -0.240%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.43%29.82%29.73%31.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.053.003.3434.48%32.77%33.33%29.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.49%EV -1.03%E -0.366%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.12%EV -3.38%E -1.23%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.39%EV -5.03%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.90%E -1.82%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -0.231%E -0.081%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -8.30%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.90%E -1.82%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -0.231%E -0.081%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -8.30%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -4.90%E -1.82%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.22%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -4.90%E -1.82%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -4.90%E -1.82%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-18 10:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.65%EV -5.25%E -1.95%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -6.18%E -2.31%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| Bovada | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.34%EV -5.61%E -2.09%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.99%EV -7.93%E -3.02%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-18 10:18 |
| Coolbet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.66%E -2.51%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -3.24%E -0.998%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.66%E -2.51%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -6.22%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.66%E -2.51%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.66%E -2.51%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.72%E -2.95%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -8.28%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -3.24%E -0.998%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.72%E -2.95%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -8.98%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.72%E -2.95%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -8.98%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.42%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -7.23%E -2.73%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.42%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.98%E -3.45%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%EV -9.13%E -3.54%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.79%EV -8.28%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.33%EV -9.13%E -3.54%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.79%EV -8.28%E -3.16%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -10.19%E -3.99%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -10.73%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -6.22%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.19%E -3.99%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.73%E -4.21%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -10.89%E -4.30%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -2.33%E -0.835%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.43%EV -0.562%E -0.168%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-18 10:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-18 10:14 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 10:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 10:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-18 10:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 10:14 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 10:14 |
| TABtouch | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 10:14 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 10:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 10:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 10:14 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 10:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 10:15 |
| betPARX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 10:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.43%EV -12.65%E -5.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 10:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -13.71%E -5.59%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -5.48%E -2.03%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -12.17%E -4.13%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-16 00:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -13.71%E -5.59%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.14%EV -16.17%E -6.80%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.40%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.46%EV -13.07%E -4.47%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.54%EV -17.23%E -7.33%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.35%EV -12.48%E -4.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.11%EV -12.17%E -4.13%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-18 10:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -17.23%E -7.33%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -17.73%E -7.55%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.83%EV -13.66%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-18 10:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 36.94%EV -18.29%E -7.88%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.01%EV -11.78%E -4.68%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.05%EV -12.17%E -4.13%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-18 10:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33% | 1.4% | 2026-03-18 10:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33% | 1.4% | 2026-03-18 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33% | 1.4% | 2026-03-18 10:24 |
| Matchbook | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33% | 1.4% | 2026-03-18 10:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.30% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38% | 1.9% | 2026-03-18 10:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.86% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.86% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28% | 3.2% | 2026-03-18 10:25 |