Language:English
Incheon United v Bucheon FC 1995
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Incheon United (Local)
Prediction 57.74%1.73fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -5.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.41%57.64%57.86%58.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.601.621.6766.67%62.48%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bucheon FC 1995 (Visit)
Prediction 17.17%5.82fair odd
EV +2.86%
Edge +0.478%
Kelly +0.573%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 5.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.11%17.24%17.07%18.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.145.005.9921.28%19.45%20.00%16.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.08%3.99fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -0.889%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.34%25.12%25.07%26.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.593.553.8529.41%27.86%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Incheon United (Local): 57.74%; Bucheon FC 1995 (Visit): 17.17%; Draw: 25.08%. For Bucheon FC 1995 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.83%EV -5.30%E -3.23%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.99I 16.69%NM 16.11%EV +2.86%E +0.478%K +0.573%G +0.016% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.06%EV -3.42%E -0.889%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -1.26%E -0.219%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -5.93%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 10:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.95%EV -5.88%E -3.61%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV -3.84%E -0.685%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.93%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.95%EV -5.88%E -3.61%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV -3.84%E -0.685%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.93%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.90%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -3.84%E -0.685%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -7.19%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-26 10:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.31%EV -8.77%E -5.55%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -3.84%E -0.685%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -8.44%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-26 10:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.93%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -7.03%E -4.37%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.68%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -7.03%E -4.37%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.19%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.75%EV -5.88%E -3.61%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 10:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-26 10:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.19%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.15%EV -6.24%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.04%EV -6.18%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -7.03%E -4.37%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.12%EV -6.41%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.94%EV -6.18%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.77%EV -8.77%E -5.55%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -8.99%E -1.70%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -8.44%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.77%EV -8.77%E -5.55%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -8.99%E -1.70%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -8.44%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.35%EV -11.65%E -7.62%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.85%EV -8.99%E -1.70%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -9.85%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.93%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.85%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.19%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.77%EV -8.77%E -5.55%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -5.93%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -10.50%E -6.77%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -10.95%E -3.08%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-26 10:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.05%EV -13.39%E -8.92%K -26.77%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.07%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 10:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.61%E -4.76%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.03%E -4.37%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-26 10:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-26 09:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-26 10:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -14.71%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-26 09:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.41%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -15.86%E -3.24%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.66%EV -5.30%E -3.23%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -15.86%E -3.24%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -10.95%E -3.08%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.61%E -4.76%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 10:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.19%EV -11.08%E -7.19%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.69%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.60%EV -19.29%E -4.10%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -14.71%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.95% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 1.0% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.95% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 1.0% | 2026-07-26 10:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.28% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.10% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99% | 1.3% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.91% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.87% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22% | 1.7% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.19% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26% | 2.9% | 2026-07-26 10:20 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.