The School of Odds

Incheon United v Bucheon FC 1995

2026-07-26 10:30 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Incheon United (Local)

Prediction 54.01%1.85fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -4.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.96%54.00%53.99%55.52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.581.691.711.7863%59%58%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Bucheon FC 1995 (Visit)

Prediction 18.79%5.32fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -0.814%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.90%18.87%18.73%20.04%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.304.834.805.1023%21%21%20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.20%3.68fair odd
EV -4.81%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.06%27.13%27.28%28.12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.353.403.5032%30%29%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.20%EV -3.86%E -2.17%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -6.03%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 17:30
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -10.73%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 17:30
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -9.79%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 21:50
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -9.79%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 21:50
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -10.73%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 17:29
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.17%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.59%EV -5.28%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.24%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 21:50
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.13%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -6.03%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -6.17%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 17:30
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -6.03%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 17:29
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 52.83%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -9.79%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -11.61%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 21:50
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.83%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -9.79%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -11.61%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 21:50
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.10%E -4.13%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -6.03%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 22:00
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.57%EV -7.64%E -4.47%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -4.15%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 21:50
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.39%EV -8.18%E -4.81%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -10.73%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 17:29
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -9.80%E -5.87%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -6.03%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -4.81%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 17:30
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 51.96%EV -9.80%E -5.87%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.04%EV -18.62%E -4.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -15.69%E -5.06%K -7.47%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-21 17:30
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 54.99%EV -10.88%E -6.60%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.33%EV -6.97%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 17:30
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.99%EV -10.88%E -6.60%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.33%EV -6.97%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 17:30
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 54.57%EV -10.88%E -6.60%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -10.73%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-21 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -12.50%E -7.72%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -13.55%E -2.95%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-21 17:30
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.87%EV -13.58%E -8.49%K -22.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -9.79%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.85%EV -11.07%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-21 17:30
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.52%EV -14.66%E -9.28%K -25.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.90%EV -7.91%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-21 17:30
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.73%EV -14.66%E -9.28%K -25.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.74%EV -19.19%E -4.46%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -12.97%E -4.05%K -5.90%G +0.000%17.8%2026-07-21 17:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 54.10%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.76%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%13.4%2026-07-21 17:30