Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Incheon United v Bucheon FC 1995

Início: 2026-07-26 10:30 UTC

Final: Incheon United 1–1 Bucheon FC 1995

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Incheon United (Local)

Previsão 57.74%1.73odd justa
EV -3.57%
Vantagem -2.14%
Kelly -5.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.41%57.64%57.86%58.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.601.621.6766.67%62.48%61.73%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Bucheon FC 1995 (Visitante)

Previsão 17.17%5.82odd justa
EV +2.86%
Vantagem +0.478%
Kelly +0.573%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.99

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.11%17.24%17.07%18.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.705.145.005.9921.28%19.45%20.00%16.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.08%3.99odd justa
EV -3.42%
Vantagem -0.889%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.34%25.12%25.07%26.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.593.553.8529.41%27.86%28.17%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Incheon United (Local): 57.74%; Bucheon FC 1995 (Visitante): 17.17%; Empate: 25.08%. Para Bucheon FC 1995 (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.82. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.99, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.86%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.83%EV -5.30%E -3.23%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.99I 16.69%NM 16.11%EV +2.86%E +0.478%K +0.573%G +0.016%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.06%EV -3.42%E -0.889%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-26 10:25
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -1.26%E -0.219%K -0.265%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -5.93%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 10:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.95%EV -5.88%E -3.61%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV -3.84%E -0.685%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.93%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 10:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.95%EV -5.88%E -3.61%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV -3.84%E -0.685%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.93%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 10:25
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.90%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -3.84%E -0.685%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -7.19%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 10:20
Bovada🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.31%EV -8.77%E -5.55%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -3.84%E -0.685%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -8.44%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 10:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.93%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 10:15
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -7.03%E -4.37%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.68%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 10:25
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -7.03%E -4.37%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.19%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 10:25
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.75%EV -5.88%E -3.61%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 10:20
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 10:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.19%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 10:25
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.15%EV -6.24%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.04%EV -6.18%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 10:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -7.03%E -4.37%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.12%EV -6.41%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.94%EV -6.18%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 10:25
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.77%EV -8.77%E -5.55%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -8.99%E -1.70%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -8.44%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 10:15
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.77%EV -8.77%E -5.55%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -8.99%E -1.70%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -8.44%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 10:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.35%EV -11.65%E -7.62%K -21.99%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.85%EV -8.99%E -1.70%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-26 10:15
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -9.85%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.93%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 10:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.85%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.19%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 10:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.77%EV -8.77%E -5.55%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -5.93%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 10:15
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -10.50%E -6.77%K -19.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -10.95%E -3.08%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 10:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.05%EV -13.39%E -8.92%K -26.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.07%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-26 10:15
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 10:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.61%E -4.76%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 10:25
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 10:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.03%E -4.37%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 10:10
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 09:45
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 10:20
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 10:25
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 10:25
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -14.71%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 09:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.41%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -15.86%E -3.24%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.66%EV -5.30%E -3.23%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -15.86%E -3.24%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -10.95%E -3.08%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 10:15
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:15
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:15
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:15
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:15
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:15
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.61%E -4.76%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.20%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.19%EV -11.08%E -7.19%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -9.69%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-26 10:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.69%EV -9.34%E -5.95%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.60%EV -19.29%E -4.10%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -14.71%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 10:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.95%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-07-26 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.95%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-07-26 10:20
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-07-26 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.10%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99%1.3%2026-07-26 10:25
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.91%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.87%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22%1.7%2026-07-26 10:25
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.19%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%2.9%2026-07-26 10:20