La escuela de los momios

Incheon United v Bucheon FC 1995

2026-07-26 10:30 UTC — K League 1

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Incheon United (Local)

Predicción 54.53%1.83momio equitativo
EV -5.11%
Ventaja -2.94%
Kelly -6.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.19%54.58%54.68%55.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.681.671.7463.29%59.54%59.88%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bucheon FC 1995 (Visitante)

Predicción 18.16%5.51momio equitativo
EV +2.77%
Ventaja +0.489%
Kelly +0.594%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.78%18.12%18.00%19.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.944.905.6623.26%20.24%20.41%17.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.31%3.66momio equitativo
EV -3.59%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.64%27.30%27.31%27.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.353.353.5331.75%29.85%29.85%28.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.55%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 17.08%EV +2.77%E +0.489%K +0.594%G +0.016%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.38%EV -3.59%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 03:40
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -0.138%E -0.025%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 10:30
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.86%EV -3.77%E -0.711%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 11:25
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.86%EV -3.77%E -0.711%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 11:25
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 54.99%EV -8.39%E -4.99%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.43%EV -3.77%E -0.711%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 03:32
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.20%E -3.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -4.68%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 01:14
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -4.68%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 23:15
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.84%E -4.64%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -4.68%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 01:10
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -4.68%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 01:09
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.98%EV -7.84%E -4.64%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.70%EV -4.68%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 01:15
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.59%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -6.60%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 09:20
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.44%EV -6.20%E -3.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.18%EV -6.49%E -1.26%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.38%EV -6.60%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 09:25
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 53.99%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -9.22%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 10:30
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -9.22%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 10:33
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.22%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 03:10
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -6.20%E -3.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -9.22%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 03:05
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.22%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 01:10
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.22%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 22:34
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.22%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 22:35
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.22%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 10:49
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.80%EV -10.57%E -6.44%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -9.22%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 22:35
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.03%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.56%EV -10.12%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 13:44
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.03%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.56%EV -10.12%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 13:45
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.38%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.35%EV -10.12%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.27%EV -9.06%E -2.72%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 22:34
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.92%EV -11.03%E -2.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:00
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.77%EV -8.39%E -4.99%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -11.03%E -2.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.23%EV -8.39%E -4.99%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -12.85%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 00:00
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -12.85%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 03:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -12.85%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 03:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -12.85%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 03:05
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -12.85%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 03:04
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 54.86%EV -13.84%E -8.76%K -23.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.06%EV -12.85%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-25 09:05
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 54.20%EV -9.48%E -5.71%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -13.76%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 00:00
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.20%EV -9.48%E -5.71%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -13.76%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.20%EV -9.48%E -5.71%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -13.76%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 00:00
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 54.20%EV -9.48%E -5.71%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -13.76%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 00:00
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 54.20%EV -9.48%E -5.71%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -13.76%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 00:00
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.20%EV -9.48%E -5.71%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -13.76%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.20%EV -9.48%E -5.71%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -13.76%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.20%EV -9.48%E -5.71%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -13.76%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 00:00
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.20%EV -9.48%E -5.71%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -13.76%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 00:00
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 54.20%EV -9.48%E -5.71%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -13.76%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 00:00
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -13.76%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 23:20
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.61%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -13.76%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-24 01:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.61%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -13.76%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-22 08:50
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -10.02%E -6.07%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.04%EV -14.66%E -3.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-22 00:00
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.95%EV -10.57%E -6.44%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.24%EV -16.48%E -3.58%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-22 13:44
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.26%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.11%EV -16.48%E -3.58%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-22 00:00
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 53.19%EV -12.75%E -7.97%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.79%EV -21.93%E -5.10%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.02%EV -13.97%E -4.44%K -6.50%G +0.000%17.5%2026-07-22 13:43
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-07-26 04:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-07-26 04:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-07-26 04:05
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-07-26 04:04
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 56.19%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-07-26 04:14
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.48%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-07-25 20:05