The School of Odds

Gwangju FC v Sangju Sangmu FC

2026-07-22 10:30 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Gwangju FC (Local)

Prediction 21.01%4.76fair odd
EV -7.54%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.87%21.01%21.01%21.06%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.204.304.304.4024%23%23%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit)

Prediction 51.92%1.93fair odd
EV -7.58%
Edge -4.26%
Kelly -9.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.92%51.92%51.92%52.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.681.721.721.7860%58%58%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.06%3.70fair odd
EV -6.63%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.83%27.06%27.06%27.06%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.353.353.4531%30%30%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -7.58%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -6.63%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-15 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -8.59%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.16%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.99%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-15 10:39
Unibet4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.26%EV -10.69%E -6.22%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -9.34%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-15 10:37
Unibet (NL)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.26%EV -10.69%E -6.22%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -9.34%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-15 10:39
TABtouch4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.26%EV -10.69%E -6.22%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -9.34%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-15 10:39
Grosvenor4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.26%EV -10.69%E -6.22%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -9.34%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-15 10:39
LiveScore Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.26%EV -10.69%E -6.22%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -9.34%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-15 10:39
Unibet (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.26%EV -10.69%E -6.22%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -9.34%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-15 10:39
Virgin Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.26%EV -10.69%E -6.22%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -9.34%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-15 10:39
Casumo4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.26%EV -10.69%E -6.22%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -9.34%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-15 10:39
betPARX4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.26%EV -10.69%E -6.22%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -9.34%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-15 10:39
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.26%EV -10.69%E -6.22%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -9.34%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-15 10:39
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.92%EV -10.69%E -6.22%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-15 10:39
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.17%EV -12.77%E -7.60%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.05%E -3.71%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-15 10:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.