Language:English
Gwangju FC v Sangju Sangmu FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gwangju FC (Local)
Prediction 26.34%3.80fair odd
EV +5.36%
Edge +1.34%
Kelly +1.79%
Growth +0.096%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.89%26.13%26.39%27.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.583.504.0030.77%27.90%28.57%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit)
Prediction 44.74%2.24fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.48%44.94%44.73%48.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.992.002.1755.56%50.18%50.00%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.93%3.46fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.487%
Kelly -0.690%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.82%28.93%28.87%30.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.973.183.203.4033.67%31.48%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gwangju FC (Local): 26.34%; Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit): 44.74%; Draw: 28.93%. For Gwangju FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV +5.36%E +1.34%K +1.79%G +0.096% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.68%EV -15.45%E -8.17%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 09:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV +4.04%E +1.02%K +1.37%G +0.055% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.86%EV -17.24%E -9.32%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-22 09:20 |
| Unibet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -17.69%E -9.61%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-22 09:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -17.69%E -9.61%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-22 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -17.69%E -9.61%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-22 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-22 09:20 |
| TABtouch | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-22 09:20 |
| Grosvenor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-22 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-22 09:20 |
| Casumo | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-22 09:20 |
| betPARX | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-22 09:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-22 09:20 |
| BetRivers | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-22 09:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV +0.090%E +0.024%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.68%EV -19.48%E -10.82%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-22 09:20 |
| Pinnacle | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.61%EV -0.437%E -0.116%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.61%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.78%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-22 09:55 |
| 1xBet | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.89%EV -4.65%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.63%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.47%EV -8.02%E -2.52%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 09:53 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -4.65%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.87%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -8.02%E -2.52%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -3.37%E -1.56%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -3.37%E -1.56%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| Betway | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-22 09:54 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-22 09:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| DraftKings | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -6.49%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| Bovada | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -6.49%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-22 09:52 |
| Coolbet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.65%E -0.487%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 09:55 |
| SportsBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -3.10%E -0.926%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-22 09:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| BetMGM | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 09:34 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -11.42%E -5.77%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| Betsson | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| NordicBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.99%EV -9.63%E -4.77%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.67%EV -8.31%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| betfred_uk | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| Paddy Power | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-22 09:54 |
| PlayUp | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-22 09:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| LeoVegas | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -9.63%E -4.77%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| Sky Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-22 09:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-22 09:36 |
| BoyleSports | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-22 09:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.49%EV -12.77%E -6.55%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.21%EV -14.09%E -4.75%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-07-22 09:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -14.40%E -4.43%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.49%EV -11.42%E -5.77%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.41%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-07-22 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-07-22 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-07-22 09:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 09:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.20% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86% | 1.5% | 2026-07-22 09:55 |
| Kalshi | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 09:54 |