L’École des cotes

Gwangju FC v Sangju Sangmu FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-22 10:30 UTC

Score final : Gwangju FC 1–1 Sangju Sangmu FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gwangju FC (Local)

Prévision 26.34%3.80cote équitable
EV +5.36%
Avantage +1.34%
Kelly +1.79%
Croissance +0.096%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.89%26.13%26.39%27.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.583.504.0030.77%27.90%28.57%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sangju Sangmu FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.74%2.24cote équitable
EV -2.92%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -2.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.48%44.94%44.73%48.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.992.002.1755.56%50.18%50.00%46.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.93%3.46cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -0.487%
Kelly -0.690%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.82%28.93%28.87%30.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.973.183.203.4033.67%31.48%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV +5.36%E +1.34%K +1.79%G +0.096%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.68%EV -15.45%E -8.17%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV +4.04%E +1.02%K +1.37%G +0.055%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.86%EV -17.24%E -9.32%K -20.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-22 09:20
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -17.69%E -9.61%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-22 09:20
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -17.69%E -9.61%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-22 09:20
Virgin Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -17.69%E -9.61%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-22 09:20
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-22 09:20
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-22 09:20
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-22 09:20
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-22 09:20
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-22 09:20
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-22 09:20
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-22 09:20
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-22 09:20
PMU (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV +0.090%E +0.024%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.68%EV -19.48%E -10.82%K -24.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-22 09:20
Pinnacle3.78I 26.46%NM 25.61%EV -0.437%E -0.116%K -0.157%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.61%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.78%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-22 09:55
1xBet3.62I 27.62%NM 25.89%EV -4.65%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.63%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.47%EV -8.02%E -2.52%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 09:53
Marathon Bet3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -4.65%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.87%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -8.02%E -2.52%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 09:35
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -3.37%E -1.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 09:35
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -3.37%E -1.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 09:35
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-22 09:54
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 09:54
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 09:35
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -6.49%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 09:35
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -6.49%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 09:52
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.65%E -0.487%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 09:55
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -3.10%E -0.926%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 09:55
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 09:35
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-22 09:35
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 09:34
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 09:35
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 09:35
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -11.42%E -5.77%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-22 09:35
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 09:35
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 09:35
Betclic (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.99%EV -9.63%E -4.77%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.67%EV -8.31%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-22 09:35
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 09:35
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 09:54
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-22 09:54
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-22 09:35
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -9.63%E -4.77%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 09:35
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-22 09:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-22 09:35
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-22 09:35
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-22 09:35
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-22 09:54
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-22 09:36
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-22 09:54
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.49%EV -12.77%E -6.55%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.21%EV -14.09%E -4.75%K -7.15%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-22 09:54
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -14.40%E -4.43%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.49%EV -11.42%E -5.77%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.41%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-22 09:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-07-22 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-07-22 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-07-22 09:55
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.0%2026-07-22 09:55
Matchbook3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%1.5%2026-07-22 09:55
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-07-22 09:54