La escuela de los momios

Gwangju FC v Sangju Sangmu FC

Inicio: 2026-07-22 10:30 UTC

Final: Gwangju FC 1–1 Sangju Sangmu FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gwangju FC (Local)

Predicción 26.34%3.80momio equitativo
EV +5.36%
Ventaja +1.34%
Kelly +1.79%
Crecimiento +0.096%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.89%26.13%26.39%27.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.583.504.0030.77%27.90%28.57%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sangju Sangmu FC (Visitante)

Predicción 44.74%2.24momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -2.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.48%44.94%44.73%48.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.992.002.1755.56%50.18%50.00%46.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.93%3.46momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.487%
Kelly -0.690%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.82%28.93%28.87%30.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.973.183.203.4033.67%31.48%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV +5.36%E +1.34%K +1.79%G +0.096%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.68%EV -15.45%E -8.17%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV +4.04%E +1.02%K +1.37%G +0.055%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.86%EV -17.24%E -9.32%K -20.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-22 09:20
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -17.69%E -9.61%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-22 09:20
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -17.69%E -9.61%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-22 09:20
Virgin Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -17.69%E -9.61%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-22 09:20
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-22 09:20
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-22 09:20
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-22 09:20
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-22 09:20
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-22 09:20
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-22 09:20
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-22 09:20
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV +2.72%E +0.698%K +0.939%G +0.026%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -18.13%E -9.91%K -21.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-22 09:20
PMU (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV +0.090%E +0.024%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.68%EV -19.48%E -10.82%K -24.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-22 09:20
Pinnacle3.78I 26.46%NM 25.61%EV -0.437%E -0.116%K -0.157%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.61%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.78%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-22 09:55
1xBet3.62I 27.62%NM 25.89%EV -4.65%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.63%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.47%EV -8.02%E -2.52%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 09:53
Marathon Bet3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -4.65%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.87%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -8.02%E -2.52%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 09:35
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -3.37%E -1.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 09:35
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -3.37%E -1.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 09:35
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-22 09:54
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 09:54
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 09:35
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -6.49%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 09:35
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -6.49%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 09:52
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.65%E -0.487%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 09:55
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -3.10%E -0.926%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 09:55
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 09:35
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-22 09:35
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 09:34
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 09:35
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 09:35
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -11.42%E -5.77%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-22 09:35
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 09:35
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 09:35
Betclic (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.99%EV -9.63%E -4.77%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.67%EV -8.31%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-22 09:35
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 09:35
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 09:54
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-22 09:54
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-22 09:35
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -9.63%E -4.77%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 09:35
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.29%E -4.04%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-22 09:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-22 09:35
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-22 09:35
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-22 09:35
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-22 09:54
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-22 09:36
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.53%E -5.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-22 09:54
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.49%EV -12.77%E -6.55%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.21%EV -14.09%E -4.75%K -7.15%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-22 09:54
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -14.40%E -4.43%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.49%EV -11.42%E -5.77%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.41%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-22 09:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-07-22 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-07-22 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-07-22 09:55
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.0%2026-07-22 09:55
Matchbook3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%1.5%2026-07-22 09:55
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-07-22 09:54