The School of Odds

Gwangju FC v Pohang Steelers

2026-07-11 10:30 — K League 1

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (8 in analysis)

Option 1: Gwangju FC (Local)

Odds
5.0020.00%Min
5.8617.07%Mean
6.0016.67%Median
6.7014.93%Max
Consensus probabilities
13.82%7.237Min
16.97%5.894Max
15.31%6.532Mean
15.36%6.509Median
15.34%6.518IQM
15.25%6.556Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 6.70 under the IQM model: 15.34%

EV +2.79%Edge +0.416%Kelly +0.489%Growth +0.014%

Option 2: Pohang Steelers (Visit)

Odds
1.4469.44%Min
1.5464.94%Mean
1.5564.52%Median
1.5962.89%Max
Consensus probabilities
57.71%1.733Min
60.55%1.652Max
59.18%1.690Mean
59.17%1.690Median
59.23%1.688IQM
59.28%1.687Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.59 under the IQM model: 59.23%

EV -5.83%Edge -3.67%Kelly -9.88%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.3529.85%Min
3.5927.86%Mean
3.6027.78%Median
3.8126.25%Max
Consensus probabilities
24.54%4.076Min
26.45%3.780Max
25.51%3.920Mean
25.47%3.926Median
25.43%3.932IQM
25.47%3.926Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.81 under the IQM model: 25.43%

EV -3.11%Edge -0.816%Kelly -1.11%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

BookmakerGwangju FC (Local) ▼Pohang Steelers (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)6.70I 14.93% NM 13.82%EV +2.79% E +0.416% K +0.489% G +0.014%1.55I 64.52% NM 59.73%EV -8.20% E -5.29% K -14.90% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.45%EV -10.99% E -3.14% K -4.40% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 14:05
Pinnacle6.38I 15.67% NM 14.84%EV -2.12% E -0.333% K -0.394% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.31%EV -7.01% E -4.47% K -12.30% G +0.000%3.81I 26.25% NM 24.85%EV -3.11% E -0.816% K -1.11% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 14:10
SportsBet6.25I 16.00% NM 14.92%EV -4.12% E -0.659% K -0.784% G +0.000%1.54I 64.94% NM 60.55%EV -8.79% E -5.71% K -16.28% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.54%EV -3.36% E -0.885% K -1.20% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 11:00
Marathon Bet6.20I 16.13% NM 15.04%EV -4.88% E -0.788% K -0.939% G +0.000%1.55I 64.52% NM 60.16%EV -8.20% E -5.29% K -14.90% G +0.000%3.76I 26.60% NM 24.80%EV -4.38% E -1.17% K -1.59% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 14:05
1xBet6.07I 16.47% NM 15.43%EV -6.88% E -1.13% K -1.36% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.66%EV -7.01% E -4.47% K -12.30% G +0.000%3.76I 26.60% NM 24.91%EV -4.38% E -1.17% K -1.59% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 14:10
Fanatics6.00I 16.67% NM 15.41%EV -7.95% E -1.33% K -1.59% G +0.000%1.59I 62.89% NM 58.16%EV -5.83% E -3.67% K -9.88% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.42%EV -10.99% E -3.14% K -4.40% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 11:00
William Hill6.00I 16.67% NM 15.30%EV -7.95% E -1.33% K -1.59% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 58.47%EV -7.01% E -4.47% K -12.30% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.23%EV -10.99% E -3.14% K -4.40% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 14:05
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67% NM 15.30%EV -7.95% E -1.33% K -1.59% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 58.47%EV -7.01% E -4.47% K -12.30% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.23%EV -10.99% E -3.14% K -4.40% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 14:05
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67% NM 15.30%EV -7.95% E -1.33% K -1.59% G +0.000%1.55I 64.52% NM 59.21%EV -8.20% E -5.29% K -14.90% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.49%EV -8.45% E -2.35% K -3.25% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 10:55
betfred_uk6.00I 16.67% NM 15.18%EV -7.95% E -1.33% K -1.59% G +0.000%1.53I 65.36% NM 59.52%EV -9.38% E -6.13% K -17.70% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.30%EV -8.45% E -2.35% K -3.25% G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 10:55
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67% NM 15.00%EV -7.95% E -1.33% K -1.59% G +0.000%1.50I 66.67% NM 60.00%EV -11.16% E -7.44% K -22.32% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.00%EV -8.45% E -2.35% K -3.25% G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-05 11:00
NordicBet5.90I 16.95% NM 15.52%EV -9.49% E -1.61% K -1.94% G +0.000%1.55I 64.52% NM 59.06%EV -8.20% E -5.29% K -14.90% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.43%EV -8.45% E -2.35% K -3.25% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 10:55
Betsson5.90I 16.95% NM 15.52%EV -9.49% E -1.61% K -1.94% G +0.000%1.55I 64.52% NM 59.06%EV -8.20% E -5.29% K -14.90% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.43%EV -8.45% E -2.35% K -3.25% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 10:55
LowVig.ag5.70I 17.54% NM 16.33%EV -12.55% E -2.20% K -2.67% G +0.000%1.59I 62.89% NM 58.52%EV -5.83% E -3.67% K -9.88% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.15%EV -5.91% E -1.60% K -2.19% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 14:04
BetOnline.ag5.70I 17.54% NM 16.33%EV -12.55% E -2.20% K -2.67% G +0.000%1.59I 62.89% NM 58.52%EV -5.83% E -3.67% K -9.88% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.15%EV -5.91% E -1.60% K -2.19% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 14:05
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86% NM 16.09%EV -14.09% E -2.52% K -3.06% G +0.000%1.53I 65.36% NM 58.89%EV -9.38% E -6.13% K -17.70% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.03%EV -8.45% E -2.35% K -3.25% G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-05 10:55
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18% NM 16.22%EV -15.62% E -2.84% K -3.47% G +0.000%1.53I 65.36% NM 58.30%EV -9.38% E -6.13% K -17.70% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.48%EV -10.99% E -3.14% K -4.40% G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-05 11:00
Unibet (FR)5.50I 18.18% NM 15.53%EV -15.62% E -2.84% K -3.47% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 59.33%EV -14.71% E -10.22% K -33.44% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 25.13%EV -13.54% E -3.98% K -5.64% G +0.000%17.0%2026-07-05 10:55
Winamax (DE)5.40I 18.52% NM 16.39%EV -17.16% E -3.18% K -3.90% G +0.000%1.50I 66.67% NM 59.02%EV -11.16% E -7.44% K -22.32% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 24.59%EV -8.45% E -2.35% K -3.25% G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-05 10:55
Sky Bet5.25I 19.05% NM 16.55%EV -19.46% E -3.71% K -4.58% G +0.000%1.50I 66.67% NM 57.91%EV -11.16% E -7.44% K -22.32% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 25.55%EV -13.54% E -3.98% K -5.64% G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-05 11:00
Winamax (FR)5.00I 20.00% NM 16.97%EV -23.29% E -4.66% K -5.82% G +0.000%1.47I 68.03% NM 57.71%EV -12.93% E -8.80% K -27.52% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 25.32%EV -14.81% E -4.42% K -6.30% G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-05 10:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerGwangju FC (Local)Pohang Steelers (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%1.51I 66.23%3.40I 29.41%13.5%2026-07-05 11:00