The School of Odds

Gwangju FC v Pohang Steelers

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 10:30 UTC

Final: Gwangju FC 0–3 Pohang Steelers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Gwangju FC (Local)

Prediction 17.41%5.74fair odd
EV +1.00%
Edge +0.173%
Kelly +0.209%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.56%17.36%17.42%18.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.705.375.375.8021%19%19%17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Pohang Steelers (Visit)

Prediction 55.48%1.80fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -2.66%
Kelly -6.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.20%55.67%55.41%59.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.491.621.651.7267%62%61%58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.11%3.69fair odd
EV +0.305%
Edge +0.083%
Kelly +0.113%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.94%26.97%27.17%27.96%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.433.403.7031%29%29%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV +1.00%E +0.173%K +0.209%G +0.002%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.15%EV -13.46%E -8.63%K -24.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV +0.305%E +0.083%K +0.113%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 10:05
Pinnacle5.78I 17.30%NM 16.70%EV +0.654%E +0.113%K +0.137%G +0.001%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.11%EV -4.58%E -2.66%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.19%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 10:24
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.30%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.98%EV -14.57%E -9.46%K -26.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 10:05
Unibet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -15.68%E -10.31%K -30.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 10:05
LiveScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -15.68%E -10.31%K -30.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 10:05
Virgin Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -15.68%E -10.31%K -30.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 10:04
Grosvenor5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.45%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:04
Unibet (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.45%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:04
Casumo5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.45%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:04
ATG (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.45%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:04
Unibet (NL)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.45%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:04
TABtouch5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.45%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:04
betPARX5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.45%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:05
BetRivers5.75I 17.39%NM 15.56%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.24%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-11 10:04
LowVig.ag5.70I 17.54%NM 16.65%EV -0.739%E -0.130%K -0.157%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -5.69%E -3.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 10:19
BetOnline.ag5.70I 17.54%NM 16.65%EV -0.739%E -0.130%K -0.157%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -5.69%E -3.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 10:24
PMU (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 15.73%EV -2.48%E -0.443%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.11%EV -17.34%E -11.64%K -35.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-11 10:04
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -4.22%E -0.768%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.07%EV -6.25%E -3.70%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 10:09
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -4.22%E -0.768%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -6.80%E -4.05%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 09:49
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.22%E -0.768%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 10:19
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.22%E -0.768%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 10:24
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.22%E -0.768%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 10:24
Bovada5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -5.96%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -7.91%E -4.76%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 10:19
1xBet5.37I 18.62%NM 17.67%EV -6.49%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.82%EV -5.69%E -3.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.51%EV -2.95%E -0.823%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 10:19
Marathon Bet5.35I 18.69%NM 17.42%EV -6.83%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.48%EV -6.80%E -4.05%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -6.74%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 10:19
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.69%E -3.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 09:35
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 10:05
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.70%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.98%EV -6.25%E -3.70%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 10:19
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -6.80%E -4.05%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 10:24
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.89%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 10:24
NordicBet5.15I 19.42%NM 17.67%EV -10.32%E -2.00%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.16%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 09:34
Betsson5.15I 19.42%NM 17.67%EV -10.32%E -2.00%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.16%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 09:34
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -5.14%E -3.00%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 10:04
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 10:14
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 10:14
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:19
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:20
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:20
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -10.13%E -6.25%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-11 09:19
Betclic (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -10.13%E -6.25%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-11 10:04
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.87%EV -10.13%E -6.25%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-11 10:19
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.64%EV -10.13%E -6.25%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-11 09:49
NetBet (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.41%EV -12.90%E -8.22%K -22.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-11 10:24
Winamax (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -14.67%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.45%EV -9.02%E -5.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-11 09:35
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 18.41%EV -14.67%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 10:19
Unibet (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 17.70%EV -14.67%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 55.61%EV -13.46%E -8.63%K -24.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-11 10:05
Winamax (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -18.15%E -3.86%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.70%EV -10.13%E -6.25%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-11 09:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-07-11 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-07-11 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-07-11 10:24
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-07-11 10:24
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.38%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.08%1.7%2026-07-11 10:24
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45%2.2%2026-07-11 09:24