L’École des cotes

Gwangju FC v Pohang Steelers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-11 10:30 UTC

Score final : Gwangju FC 0–3 Pohang Steelers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gwangju FC (Local)

Prévision 17.41%5.74cote équitable
EV +1.00%
Avantage +0.173%
Kelly +0.209%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 5.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.56%17.36%17.42%18.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.705.375.375.8021.28%18.64%18.62%17.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pohang Steelers (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.48%1.80cote équitable
EV -4.58%
Avantage -2.66%
Kelly -6.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.20%55.67%55.41%59.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.491.621.651.7267.11%61.81%60.61%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.11%3.69cote équitable
EV +0.305%
Avantage +0.083%
Kelly +0.113%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.94%26.97%27.17%27.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.433.403.7031.25%29.15%29.41%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV +1.00%E +0.173%K +0.209%G +0.002%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.15%EV -13.46%E -8.63%K -24.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV +0.305%E +0.083%K +0.113%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 10:05
Pinnacle5.78I 17.30%NM 16.70%EV +0.654%E +0.113%K +0.137%G +0.001%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.11%EV -4.58%E -2.66%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.19%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 10:24
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.30%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.98%EV -14.57%E -9.46%K -26.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 10:05
Unibet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -15.68%E -10.31%K -30.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 10:05
LiveScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -15.68%E -10.31%K -30.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 10:05
Virgin Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -15.68%E -10.31%K -30.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 10:04
Grosvenor5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.45%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:04
Unibet (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.45%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:04
Casumo5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.45%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:04
ATG (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.45%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:04
Unibet (NL)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.45%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:04
TABtouch5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.45%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:04
betPARX5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.45%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:05
BetRivers5.75I 17.39%NM 15.56%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.24%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-11 10:04
LowVig.ag5.70I 17.54%NM 16.65%EV -0.739%E -0.130%K -0.157%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -5.69%E -3.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 10:19
BetOnline.ag5.70I 17.54%NM 16.65%EV -0.739%E -0.130%K -0.157%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -5.69%E -3.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 10:24
PMU (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 15.73%EV -2.48%E -0.443%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.11%EV -17.34%E -11.64%K -35.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-11 10:04
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -4.22%E -0.768%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.07%EV -6.25%E -3.70%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 10:09
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -4.22%E -0.768%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -6.80%E -4.05%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 09:49
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.22%E -0.768%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 10:19
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.22%E -0.768%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 10:24
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.22%E -0.768%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 10:24
Bovada5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -5.96%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -7.91%E -4.76%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 10:19
1xBet5.37I 18.62%NM 17.67%EV -6.49%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.82%EV -5.69%E -3.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.51%EV -2.95%E -0.823%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 10:19
Marathon Bet5.35I 18.69%NM 17.42%EV -6.83%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.48%EV -6.80%E -4.05%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -6.74%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 10:19
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.69%E -3.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 09:35
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 10:05
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.70%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.98%EV -6.25%E -3.70%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 10:19
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -6.80%E -4.05%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 10:24
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.89%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 10:24
NordicBet5.15I 19.42%NM 17.67%EV -10.32%E -2.00%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.16%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 09:34
Betsson5.15I 19.42%NM 17.67%EV -10.32%E -2.00%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.16%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 09:34
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -5.14%E -3.00%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 10:04
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 10:14
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 10:14
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:19
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:20
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:20
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -10.13%E -6.25%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-11 09:19
Betclic (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -10.13%E -6.25%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-11 10:04
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.87%EV -10.13%E -6.25%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-11 10:19
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.64%EV -10.13%E -6.25%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-11 09:49
NetBet (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.41%EV -12.90%E -8.22%K -22.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-11 10:24
Winamax (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -14.67%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.45%EV -9.02%E -5.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-11 09:35
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 18.41%EV -14.67%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 10:19
Unibet (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 17.70%EV -14.67%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 55.61%EV -13.46%E -8.63%K -24.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-11 10:05
Winamax (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -18.15%E -3.86%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.70%EV -10.13%E -6.25%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-11 09:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-07-11 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-07-11 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-07-11 10:24
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-07-11 10:24
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.38%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.08%1.7%2026-07-11 10:24
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45%2.2%2026-07-11 09:24