La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Gwangju FC v Pohang Steelers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gwangju FC (Local)
Predicción 17.41%5.74momio equitativo
EV +1.00%
Ventaja +0.173%
Kelly +0.209%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.56%17.36%17.42%18.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.705.375.375.8021.28%18.64%18.62%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pohang Steelers (Visitante)
Predicción 55.48%1.80momio equitativo
EV -4.58%
Ventaja -2.66%
Kelly -6.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.20%55.67%55.41%59.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.491.621.651.7267.11%61.81%60.61%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.11%3.69momio equitativo
EV +0.305%
Ventaja +0.083%
Kelly +0.113%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.94%26.97%27.17%27.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.433.403.7031.25%29.15%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV +1.00%E +0.173%K +0.209%G +0.002% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.15%EV -13.46%E -8.63%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV +0.305%E +0.083%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-11 10:05 |
| Pinnacle | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.70%EV +0.654%E +0.113%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.11%EV -4.58%E -2.66%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.19%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-11 10:24 |
| Coolbet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.30%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 09:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.98%EV -14.57%E -9.46%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-11 10:05 |
| Unibet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -15.68%E -10.31%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-11 10:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -15.68%E -10.31%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-11 10:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -15.68%E -10.31%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-11 10:04 |
| Grosvenor | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.45%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-11 10:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.45%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-11 10:04 |
| Casumo | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.45%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-11 10:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.45%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-11 10:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.45%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-11 10:04 |
| TABtouch | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.45%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-11 10:04 |
| betPARX | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.61%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.45%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -2.41%E -0.668%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-11 10:05 |
| BetRivers | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.56%EV +0.131%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.24%EV -16.23%E -10.75%K -31.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-11 10:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.65%EV -0.739%E -0.130%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -5.69%E -3.35%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 10:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.65%EV -0.739%E -0.130%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -5.69%E -3.35%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 10:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.73%EV -2.48%E -0.443%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.11%EV -17.34%E -11.64%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-11 10:04 |
| DraftKings | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -4.22%E -0.768%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.07%EV -6.25%E -3.70%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-11 10:09 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -4.22%E -0.768%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -6.80%E -4.05%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-11 09:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.22%E -0.768%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-11 10:19 |
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.22%E -0.768%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-11 10:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.22%E -0.768%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-11 10:24 |
| Bovada | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -5.96%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -7.91%E -4.76%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-11 10:19 |
| 1xBet | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.67%EV -6.49%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.82%EV -5.69%E -3.35%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.51%EV -2.95%E -0.823%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 10:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.42%EV -6.83%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.48%EV -6.80%E -4.05%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -6.74%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 10:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.69%E -3.35%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 09:35 |
| Betway | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-11 10:05 |
| BetMGM | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.70%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.98%EV -6.25%E -3.70%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-11 10:19 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -6.80%E -4.05%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-11 10:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -8.58%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.89%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-11 10:24 |
| NordicBet | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.67%EV -10.32%E -2.00%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.16%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-11 09:34 |
| Betsson | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.67%EV -10.32%E -2.00%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.16%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-11 09:34 |
| Fanatics | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -5.14%E -3.00%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-11 10:04 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-11 10:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -7.35%E -4.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-11 10:14 |
| Coral | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-11 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-11 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-11 10:20 |
| Neds | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-11 10:20 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -10.13%E -6.25%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-11 09:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -10.13%E -6.25%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-11 10:04 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.87%EV -10.13%E -6.25%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-11 10:19 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.64%EV -10.13%E -6.25%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-11 09:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -12.93%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.41%EV -12.90%E -8.22%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-11 10:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -14.67%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.45%EV -9.02%E -5.50%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-11 09:35 |
| LeoVegas | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.41%EV -14.67%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -8.46%E -5.13%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-11 10:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.70%EV -14.67%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 55.61%EV -13.46%E -8.63%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-07-11 10:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -18.15%E -3.86%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.70%EV -10.13%E -6.25%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-11 09:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 10:24 |
| Matchbook | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 10:24 |
| Smarkets | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.38% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.53% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.08% | 1.7% | 2026-07-11 10:24 |
| Kalshi | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45% | 2.2% | 2026-07-11 09:24 |