Language:English
Gwangju FC v Incheon United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gwangju FC (Local)
Prediction 23.32%4.29fair odd
EV +1.44%
Edge +0.330%
Kelly +0.429%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.74%23.14%23.23%24.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.044.004.3526.67%24.78%25.00%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Incheon United (Visit)
Prediction 48.51%2.06fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -3.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.55%48.68%48.62%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.851.861.9959.52%54.08%53.76%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.17%3.55fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -0.906%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.21%28.18%28.16%29.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.213.203.4732.79%31.16%31.25%28.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gwangju FC (Local): 23.32%; Incheon United (Visit): 48.51%; Draw: 28.17%. For Gwangju FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.29. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.44%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.76%EV +1.44%E +0.330%K +0.429%G +0.006% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -14.14%E -7.99%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -8.32%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV -0.896%E -0.211%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.49%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.81%EV -2.24%E -0.645%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-23 10:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.87%EV -0.896%E -0.211%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.97%EV -15.60%E -8.96%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.06%E -0.491%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -11.23%E -6.14%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -2.06%E -0.491%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -11.23%E -6.14%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 10:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.79%EV -2.06%E -0.491%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.05%EV -17.05%E -9.97%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.16%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -3.23%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -8.80%E -4.68%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 10:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.06%EV -3.93%E -0.953%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.48%EV -4.92%E -2.51%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.45%EV -5.90%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-23 10:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.90%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.01%EV -18.51%E -11.02%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09%EV -14.07%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.73%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 10:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.73%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.73%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.16%EV -6.38%E -3.31%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.73%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 10:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.73%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 10:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.87%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.67%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -8.80%E -4.68%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 10:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.76%EV -7.83%E -4.12%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.76%EV -7.83%E -4.12%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.37%EV -10.26%E -5.55%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.68%EV -12.10%E -3.88%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.13%EV -11.72%E -6.44%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -11.23%E -6.14%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -10.22%E -2.66%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.80%E -4.68%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.55%EV -7.83%E -4.12%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.26%E -5.55%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 10:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.26%E -5.55%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.26%E -5.55%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.26%E -5.55%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 10:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -12.56%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -12.56%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.87%EV -8.80%E -4.68%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.56%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -9.29%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.88%EV -12.56%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.14%EV -9.77%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.98%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.10%EV -12.56%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 48.95%EV -14.14%E -7.99%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.95%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.76% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.73% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.73% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.73% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |