Idioma:Español
Gwangju FC v Incheon United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gwangju FC (Local)
Predicción 23.32%4.29momio equitativo
EV +1.44%
Ventaja +0.330%
Kelly +0.429%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.74%23.14%23.23%24.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.044.004.3526.67%24.78%25.00%22.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Incheon United (Visitante)
Predicción 48.51%2.06momio equitativo
EV -3.47%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -3.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.99
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.55%48.68%48.62%51.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.851.861.9959.52%54.08%53.76%50.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.17%3.55momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -0.645%
Kelly -0.906%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.21%28.18%28.16%29.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.213.203.4732.79%31.16%31.25%28.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Gwangju FC (Local): 23.32%; Incheon United (Visitante): 48.51%; Empate: 28.17%. Para Gwangju FC (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.29. 12 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.35, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.44%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.76%EV +1.44%E +0.330%K +0.429%G +0.006% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -14.14%E -7.99%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -8.32%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV -0.896%E -0.211%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.49%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.81%EV -2.24%E -0.645%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-23 10:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.87%EV -0.896%E -0.211%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.97%EV -15.60%E -8.96%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.06%E -0.491%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -11.23%E -6.14%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -2.06%E -0.491%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -11.23%E -6.14%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 10:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.79%EV -2.06%E -0.491%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.05%EV -17.05%E -9.97%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.16%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -3.23%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -8.80%E -4.68%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 10:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.06%EV -3.93%E -0.953%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.48%EV -4.92%E -2.51%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.45%EV -5.90%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-23 10:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.90%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.01%EV -18.51%E -11.02%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09%EV -14.07%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.73%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 10:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.73%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.73%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.16%EV -6.38%E -3.31%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.73%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 10:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.73%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 10:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.87%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.67%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -8.80%E -4.68%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 10:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.76%EV -7.83%E -4.12%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.76%EV -7.83%E -4.12%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.37%EV -10.26%E -5.55%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.68%EV -12.10%E -3.88%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.13%EV -11.72%E -6.44%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -11.23%E -6.14%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -10.22%E -2.66%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.80%E -4.68%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.55%EV -7.83%E -4.12%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.26%E -5.55%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 10:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.26%E -5.55%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.26%E -5.55%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.26%E -5.55%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 10:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -12.56%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -12.56%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.87%EV -8.80%E -4.68%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.56%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -9.29%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.88%EV -12.56%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.14%EV -9.77%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.98%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.10%EV -12.56%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 48.95%EV -14.14%E -7.99%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.95%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.76% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.73% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.73% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.73% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |