Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Gwangju FC v Incheon United

Início: 2026-08-23 10:30 UTC

Final: Gwangju FC 0–1 Incheon United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Gwangju FC (Local)

Previsão 23.32%4.29odd justa
EV +1.44%
Vantagem +0.330%
Kelly +0.429%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.74%23.14%23.23%24.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.044.004.3526.67%24.78%25.00%22.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Incheon United (Visitante)

Previsão 48.51%2.06odd justa
EV -3.47%
Vantagem -1.74%
Kelly -3.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.99

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.55%48.68%48.62%51.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.681.851.861.9959.52%54.08%53.76%50.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.17%3.55odd justa
EV -2.24%
Vantagem -0.645%
Kelly -0.906%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.21%28.18%28.16%29.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.213.203.4732.79%31.16%31.25%28.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Gwangju FC (Local): 23.32%; Incheon United (Visitante): 48.51%; Empate: 28.17%. Para Gwangju FC (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.29. 12 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.35, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.44%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.76%EV +1.44%E +0.330%K +0.429%G +0.006%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -14.14%E -7.99%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 10:10
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -8.32%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 10:25
Unibet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 10:10
Unibet (NL)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 10:10
Grosvenor🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 10:10
Unibet (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 10:10
Casumo🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 10:10
TABtouch🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 10:10
betPARX🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV +0.270%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.11%E -8.63%K -20.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 10:10
Pinnacle🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV -0.896%E -0.211%K -0.276%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.49%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.81%EV -2.24%E -0.645%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-23 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 20.87%EV -0.896%E -0.211%K -0.276%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.97%EV -15.60%E -8.96%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.06%E -0.491%K -0.644%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -11.23%E -6.14%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 10:25
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -2.06%E -0.491%K -0.644%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -11.23%E -6.14%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 10:00
BetRivers🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.79%EV -2.06%E -0.491%K -0.644%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.05%EV -17.05%E -9.97%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.16%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-23 10:10
Marathon Bet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -3.23%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -8.80%E -4.68%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 10:20
1xBet🎯4.12I 24.27%NM 23.06%EV -3.93%E -0.953%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.48%EV -4.92%E -2.51%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.45%EV -5.90%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 10:25
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 10:20
PMU (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 20.90%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.01%EV -18.51%E -11.02%K -27.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09%EV -14.07%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-23 10:10
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.73%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 10:24
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.73%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 10:25
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.73%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.16%EV -6.38%E -3.31%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 10:25
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.73%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 10:20
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.73%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 10:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.87%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 10:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.67%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 10:25
Bovada🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -8.80%E -4.68%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 10:24
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.76%EV -7.83%E -4.12%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 10:25
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.76%EV -7.83%E -4.12%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 10:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.41%E -2.77%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 10:25
William Hill🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 10:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 10:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.37%EV -10.26%E -5.55%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.68%EV -12.10%E -3.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 10:25
Unibet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.13%EV -11.72%E -6.44%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 10:25
Sky Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -11.23%E -6.14%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-23 10:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -10.22%E -2.66%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.80%E -4.68%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 10:25
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 10:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.55%EV -7.83%E -4.12%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 10:25
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.26%E -5.55%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:20
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.26%E -5.55%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.26%E -5.55%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.26%E -5.55%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:20
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -12.56%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 10:25
LeoVegas🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -12.56%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.87%EV -8.80%E -4.68%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 10:25
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.56%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -9.29%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 10:25
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.88%EV -12.56%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.14%EV -9.77%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.98%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 10:25
NetBet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.10%EV -12.56%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 48.95%EV -14.14%E -7.99%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.95%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-23 10:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.76%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-08-23 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.73%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-23 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.73%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-23 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.73%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-23 10:25
Matchbook◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-08-23 10:25