Language:English
Gwangju FC v FC Seoul
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gwangju FC (Local)
Prediction 13.14%7.61fair odd
EV +2.48%
Edge +0.318%
Kelly +0.365%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 7.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.81%13.21%13.17%14.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.906.866.757.8016.95%14.58%14.81%12.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Seoul (Visit)
Prediction 65.57%1.53fair odd
EV -4.93%
Edge -3.40%
Kelly -10.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.67%65.55%65.48%67.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.391.401.4576.34%71.78%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.29%4.70fair odd
EV +1.15%
Edge +0.241%
Kelly +0.306%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.90%21.24%21.35%22.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.254.204.7525.32%23.55%23.81%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gwangju FC (Local): 13.14%; FC Seoul (Visit): 65.57%; Draw: 21.29%. For Gwangju FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.61. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.48%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.81%EV +2.48%E +0.318%K +0.365%G +0.009% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.25%EV -10.17%E -7.43%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -6.31%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 09:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV +1.82%E +0.235%K +0.270%G +0.005% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.40%EV -6.89%E -4.86%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.31%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.53%EV +1.04%E +0.135%K +0.155%G +0.002% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.47%EV -4.93%E -3.40%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 21.00%EV -2.26%E -0.493%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.15%E +0.241%K +0.306%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 09:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.64%EV -6.89%E -4.86%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -9.50%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 09:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 09:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -10.83%E -7.96%K -30.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -2.05%E -0.445%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.61%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -7.37%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -2.77%E -0.375%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.49%EV -7.55%E -5.35%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -2.77%E -0.375%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.49%EV -7.55%E -5.35%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.78%EV -4.09%E -0.560%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.68%EV -6.89%E -4.86%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.80%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.29I 13.72%NM 12.85%EV -4.22%E -0.579%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.51%EV -6.24%E -4.36%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV -7.80%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 10:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.91%EV -4.93%E -3.40%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -7.37%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 10:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -6.24%E -4.36%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -6.89%E -4.86%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -9.50%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 10:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -6.89%E -4.86%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -9.50%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -8.44%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 09:23 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-12 10:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-12 10:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-12 09:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-12 09:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.87%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-12 09:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -12.80%E -9.62%K -38.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -6.31%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.58%E -3.88%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 10:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 10:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 10:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 10:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 10:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 10:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 10:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 10:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 10:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 10:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.01%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.04%EV -11.48%E -8.51%K -32.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -14.82%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-12 10:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV -11.97%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.89%E -4.86%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -9.50%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-12 10:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -14.60%E -2.25%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -10.83%E -7.96%K -30.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-12 09:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.15%EV -14.60%E -2.25%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 65.22%EV -14.11%E -10.77%K -45.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.63%EV -15.89%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-05-12 10:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.96%EV -15.91%E -2.49%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.26%EV -8.86%E -6.37%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -17.88%E -2.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.68%EV -7.55%E -5.35%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -6.31%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.04%EV -18.54%E -2.99%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.47%EV -11.48%E -8.51%K -32.81%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.49%EV -13.76%E -3.40%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -21.17%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -21.17%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -21.17%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-12 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -21.17%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -21.17%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -10.83%E -7.96%K -30.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.89%EV -22.48%E -3.81%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.67%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.51% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.28% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.52% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73% | 1.3% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.25% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.06% | 1.8% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.25% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.06% | 1.8% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 2.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.64% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.40% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96% | 2.2% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |