La escuela de los momios

Gwangju FC v FC Seoul

Inicio: 2026-05-12 10:30 UTC

Final: Gwangju FC 0–1 FC Seoul

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gwangju FC (Local)

Predicción 13.14%7.61momio equitativo
EV +2.48%
Ventaja +0.318%
Kelly +0.365%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.81%13.21%13.17%14.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.906.866.757.8016.95%14.58%14.81%12.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Seoul (Visitante)

Predicción 65.57%1.53momio equitativo
EV -4.93%
Ventaja -3.40%
Kelly -10.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.67%65.55%65.48%67.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.311.391.401.4576.34%71.78%71.43%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.29%4.70momio equitativo
EV +1.15%
Ventaja +0.241%
Kelly +0.306%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.90%21.24%21.35%22.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.254.204.7525.32%23.55%23.81%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)7.80I 12.82%NM 11.81%EV +2.48%E +0.318%K +0.365%G +0.009%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.25%EV -10.17%E -7.43%K -27.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -6.31%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 09:59
Coolbet7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV +1.82%E +0.235%K +0.270%G +0.005%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.40%EV -6.89%E -4.86%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.31%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 10:14
Pinnacle7.69I 13.00%NM 12.53%EV +1.04%E +0.135%K +0.155%G +0.002%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.47%EV -4.93%E -3.40%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.00%EV -2.26%E -0.493%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 10:24
Betway7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.15%E +0.241%K +0.306%G +0.004%5.8%2026-05-12 09:25
PointsBet (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.64%EV -6.89%E -4.86%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -9.50%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 09:24
betfred_uk7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 09:24
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -10.83%E -7.96%K -30.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -2.05%E -0.445%K -0.569%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 10:24
NordicBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.61%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -7.37%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 10:24
BetOnline.ag7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -2.77%E -0.375%K -0.433%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.49%EV -7.55%E -5.35%K -18.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 10:14
LowVig.ag7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -2.77%E -0.375%K -0.433%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.49%EV -7.55%E -5.35%K -18.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 10:14
Marathon Bet7.30I 13.70%NM 12.78%EV -4.09%E -0.560%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.68%EV -6.89%E -4.86%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.80%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 10:14
1xBet7.29I 13.72%NM 12.85%EV -4.22%E -0.579%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.51%EV -6.24%E -4.36%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV -7.80%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 10:20
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.91%EV -4.93%E -3.40%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -7.37%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 10:20
DraftKings7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -6.24%E -4.36%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 10:14
Svenska Spel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -6.89%E -4.86%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -9.50%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 10:09
PlayUp7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -6.89%E -4.86%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -9.50%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 10:24
Fanatics7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -8.44%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 09:23
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 10:10
LeoVegas7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 10:09
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 09:24
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 09:24
Betr (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.87%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-12 09:24
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -12.80%E -9.62%K -38.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -6.31%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-12 10:19
BetMGM6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.58%E -3.88%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 10:24
Unibet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 10:09
Virgin Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 10:09
Unibet (NL)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 10:09
Grosvenor6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 10:09
BetRivers6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 10:09
LiveScore Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 10:09
Unibet (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 10:10
Casumo6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 10:10
TABtouch6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 10:10
ATG (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 10:09
betPARX6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 10:09
PMU (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.01%EV -11.31%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.04%EV -11.48%E -8.51%K -32.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -14.82%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-12 10:09
Betsson6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV -11.97%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.89%E -4.86%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -9.50%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 10:15
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -14.60%E -2.25%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -10.83%E -7.96%K -30.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-12 09:29
NetBet (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.15%EV -14.60%E -2.25%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 65.22%EV -14.11%E -10.77%K -45.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.63%EV -15.89%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-12 10:20
Betclic (FR)6.40I 15.63%NM 13.96%EV -15.91%E -2.49%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.26%EV -8.86%E -6.37%K -22.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-12 10:19
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -17.88%E -2.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.68%EV -7.55%E -5.35%K -18.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -6.31%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 10:14
Unibet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.04%EV -18.54%E -2.99%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 64.47%EV -11.48%E -8.51%K -32.81%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.49%EV -13.76%E -3.40%K -4.51%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-12 10:19
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -21.17%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 10:19
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -21.17%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 10:19
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -21.17%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 10:20
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -21.17%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 10:19
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -21.17%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -10.83%E -7.96%K -30.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Winamax (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 14.89%EV -22.48%E -3.81%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.67%EV -9.52%E -6.90%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-12 10:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook8.60I 11.63%NM 11.51%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-12 10:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73%1.3%2026-05-12 10:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.25%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.06%1.8%2026-05-12 10:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.25%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.06%1.8%2026-05-12 10:24
Kalshi7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Smarkets8.40I 11.90%NM 11.64%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.40%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%2.2%2026-05-12 10:24